NFL Community, ESPN
The 2023 NFL season kicks off Thursday night time, when the reigning Tremendous Bowl champion Chiefs host the Lions (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC).
Month 1 later continues on Sunday with 14 thrilling matchups — together with the Cowboys visiting the Giants on “Sunday Night Football” (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC). The Bills head a minute south to stand the Jets to around out the slate on “Monday Night Football,” which you’ll be able to catch at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN, ABC and ESPN+.
To welcome again soccer, NFL Community journalists known strengths and weaknesses of all 32 groups, NFL analyst Matt Bowen named a fiction sleeper you will have to imagine, analytics editor Seth Walder made 32 daring predictions and ESPN’s Stats & Knowledge segment gave a stat to grasp for each group heading into the season. As well as, you’ll to find the possibilities for each group to win its category and construct the playoffs, projected wins at the season and the power of agenda. Plus, intensity charts, schedules and rosters for each group.
That is the whole thing you want to grasp for the beginning of the season, which can conclude Feb. 11 at Super Bowl LVIII in Las Vegas. The ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) ranked each group from 1 to 32 according to the way it initiatives the season to play games out. The Chiefs get started us off at Disagree. 1:
Soar to a group:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN
CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND
JAX | KC | LV | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF
SEA | TB | TEN | WSH
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC West: 56%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 77%
Projected wins: 10.6
Power of agenda: 2d toughest
What do the Chiefs do the most productive?
Rating issues. The Chiefs led the league in scoring extreme season and display incorrect indicators of slowing indisposed. Actually, the offense could be progressed. Unused offensive tackles Donovan Smith and Jawaan Taylor performed neatly in camp and the preseason and seem to be an improve from extreme season. The Chiefs are deep with playmakers at large receiver, and with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback and Andy Reid calling the performs, the Chiefs once more glance potent. — Adam Teicher
What’s the Chiefs’ largest disorder?
Cross remove. The Chiefs extreme season had been moment within the league in sacks. However Chris Jones‘ holdout continues year any other in their peak pass-rushers, Charles Omenihu, was once suspended by the league for the primary six video games as a result of a contravention of the league’s non-public behavior coverage. The Chiefs silent have some gamers able to hanging stress on opposing quarterbacks, maximum significantly stop George Karlaftis. However do they’ve enough quantity to generate constant stress? — Teicher
Stat to grasp: As an instance how impressive Jones is to the Chiefs’ protection, let’s check out the numbers within the month 5 seasons with and with out Jones at the discipline — in keeping with NFL Nearest Gen stats. When he performs, the QBR of fighters is degrade (52), the protection’s stress share is upper (35%) and third-down conversions are 10% degrade (38%).
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Justyn Ross. Speed a shot on Ross past due as a result of he may just assemble a task in one of the vital league’s maximum explosive passing offenses. And Ross has the entire bodily equipment to win perimeter matchups for quarterback Mahomes. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Daring prediction for 2023: CB Trent McDuffie will construct the Professional Bowl. In 2022, McDuffie ranked tenth amongst exterior corners with a minimum of 300 protection snaps in yards in step with protection snap allowed (0.9). That’s a promising signal for a participant coming into his moment season. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC East: 48%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 74%
Projected wins: 10.5
Power of agenda: 3rd toughest
What do the Expenses do the most productive?
Keep in video games. Since 2019, the Expenses have completed with the most productive issues margin in step with match (8.4), which means that no longer solely is Buffalo successful through a vital margin but in addition shedding near video games, making outlier video games just like the playoff loss to the Bengals arise out. The Expenses are sturdy on offense at the back of Josh Allen, however the protection has allowed the fewest passing yards in step with match since 2019 (200.8), which will probably be examined with more than one defenders coming off accidents. — Alaina Getzenberg
What’s the Expenses’ largest disorder?
Offensive fold. The intensity at the Expenses’ fold has taken more than one hits with take on Brandon Shell deciding to retire and take on Tommy Doyle struggling what educator Sean McDermott referred to as a “season-ending injury” in the second one preseason match. The group did usher in a reinforcement, signing veteran Germain Ifedi, and favored what it noticed from younger linemen Ryan Van Demark and Alec Anderson, however the query extra if the paintings achieved will probably be enough quantity as protecting Allen wholesome is the group’s peak precedence. — Getzenberg
Stat to grasp: Since Stefon Diggs joined the Expenses in 2020, Allen’s profession numbers have progressed. His General QBR went from 50 to 71 and his finishing touch share rose from 56% to 65%.
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Damien Harris. Harris has the possible to emerge as the main goal-line again for the high-scoring Buffalo offense. Even with Allen ocular designed carries within the pink zone, Harris is a bodily runner who may just convey landing manufacturing to fiction lineups. — Bowen
Extra: Adam Schefter’s fantasy football cheat sheet (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Deonte Harty will end moment amongst Expenses gamers in receiving yards then Diggs. I stay thinking about Harty’s 2021 numbers, when he posted a daft 2.9 yards in step with course run and an 81 discoverable rating (in step with ESPN’s Receiver Tracking Metrics) with the Saints. Teaming up with Allen will have to be a excellent factor for him. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC North: 44%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 73%
Projected wins: 10.6
Power of agenda: sixteenth toughest
What do the Bengals do the most productive?
Run an effective offense. Closing season, the Bengals ranked 5th in issues in step with power (2.34) and pink zone potency (64.9%), the best finishes in the ones divisions within the Joe Burrow hour. Even if defenses pressured Burrow into shorter passes to realize yards, Cincinnati silent ended 27.8% of its drives for touchdowns. If the Bengals can develop extra drives and preserve that landing charge, the mix may just submit one of the vital NFL’s ultimate offenses. — Ben Child
What’s the Bengals’ largest disorder?
Offensive fold. The Bengals have considerably progressed the offensive fold over the month two years through hanging unutilized starters in any respect 5 spots. On the other hand, there’s silent an opening between that unit and the others at the group. Bringing in Orlando Brown Jr. at left take on, shifting Jonah Williams to proper take on and a moment yr of chemistry for the internal gamers might be the most important to making improvements to a unit that ranked thirtieth in move prevent win charge (50.1%) in 2022. — Child
Stat to grasp: The Bengals signed Brown, a peak unfastened agent, this offseason — and for excellent reason why. Since drafting Burrow in 2020, Cincinnati has had the worst move prevent win charge (49.6%) within the NFL. And solely the Bears (152) have allowed extra sacks than the Bengals (147) in that span.
1:25
Will have to Bengals fanatics be at holiday with Joe Burrow again at follow?
Frank Isola and Israel Gutierrez check out the Bengals as quarterback Joe Burrow returns to follow.
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Chase Brown. As a complementary choices at the back of starter Joe Mixon, Brown has the touch stability and one-cut operating talent to pepper the ball between the tackles. He treated weighty quantity all through his ultimate season at Illinois. If Mixon had been to omit match future, Brown would change into a fiction starter on your lineup, having the ability to shed out of the backfield within the move match. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football Ultimate Draft Board (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Burrow will prepared the unutilized same old for finishing touch share over expectation (CPOE), beating out Matt Ryan‘s plus-8.3% in 2016. Burrow’s elite quality is accuracy — he led the league in CPOE in 2021 with a plus-6%, and he has outstanding receivers another time. That can permit him to ascertain the best mark within the metric, which was once evolved through NFL Nearest Gen Stats in 2016. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC East: 52%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 82%
Projected wins: 10.3
Power of agenda: twelfth toughest
What do the Eagles do the most productive?
Put defenses in a collect. With quarterback Jalen Hurts operating an offense according to the run-pass possibility, he can conserve the ball, hand it off or hearth a move relying on what the opponent does post-snap. The effects extreme season inform the story: Philadelphia completed 1/3 in general yards (389.1 in step with match), 5th in dashing yards (147.6) and 9th in passing yards (241.5 in step with match). With a supporting forged round Hurts that includes A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert and now D’Andre Swift, defenses will probably be hard-pressed to seek out excellent solutions on tips on how to i’m late this assault. — Tim McManus
What’s the Eagles’ largest disorder?
Linebacker and protection. The Eagles misplaced more than one starters at each and every place in unfastened company. Nakobe Dean and Zach Cunningham glance to be in fold to break in at linebacker, year Philly has but to land on a dance spouse to play games reverse Reed Blankenship at protection. Younger gamers like Dean and rookie Sydney Brown deal oath, however this can be a in large part unproven staff taking part in for unutilized coordinator Sean Desai. One discipline to observe is how this unit plays in opposition to the run. The 2022 model of the protection struggled in opposition to the farmland assault in spurts, together with in Super Bowl LVII when it allowed 158 yards on 26 carries (6.1 reasonable) in opposition to the Chiefs. — McManus
Stat to grasp: In 2022, the Eagles changed into the primary group to have 4 other gamers with double-digit sacks in a season since person sacks changed into legit in 1982. Handiest Javon Hargrave isn’t returning of the ones 4 gamers (Haason Reddick, Brandon Graham and Josh Sweat).
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Kenneth Gainwell. The Eagles will proceed to usefulness a committee manner of their backfield, however Gainwell has the characteristics to have an effect on each the run and the move match. He’s a late-round bench stash who may just emerge from the bundle to peer constant touches. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football mock draft: 12-team, PPR
Daring prediction for 2023: The Eagles will rank within the peak 10 in designed move charge. They ranked twenty second within the division extreme season however journey as much as twelfth if we glance solely at performs run when a match’s win prospect is between 15% and 85%. In alternative phrases, the Eagles wish to move; they only had been successful through residue too frequently extreme yr. That is related for Hurts and the Eagles’ pass-catchers in fiction. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC West: 64%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 82%
Projected wins: 10.2
Power of agenda: thirteenth absolute best
What do the 49ers do the most productive?
Play games protection. Disagree disrespect to the Niners’ deep provide of offensive skill, however this can be a defensive unit that returns 8 starters and added elite defensive tackle Javon Hargrave within the offseason. Unused coordinator Steve Wilks received’t exchange a lot schematically, however his background operating with defensive backs will have to support strengthen that staff, which some eyewitnesses imagine the possible disorder of this protection. The Niners had a peak protection extreme season, they usually’ll view anything else not up to that as a letdown in 2023. — Nick Wagoner
What’s the 49ers’ largest disorder?
The kicking match. Because it stands, the Niners don’t have a healthy kicker, let unwanted a confirmed one. Rookie kicker Jake Moody was once magnificient in follow all through coaching camp however has struggled within the preseason video games and is now coping with a proper quad trauma. Given the Niners’ Tremendous Bowl expectancies, Moody received’t have future to holiday his means in when wholesome. Misses in preseason video games don’t heartless a lot, however Robbie Gould, the kicker Moody is changing, had by no means overlooked a discipline target or difference level in 68 profession postseason makes an attempt, a difficult business for Moody to practice on a group making plans to play games in playoff video games in January. — Wagoner
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Stat to grasp: Quarterback Brock Purdy returns from proper elbow surgical procedure to start Week 1. He’s an excellent 5-0 within the steady season. Purdy recorded six directly video games with more than one passing TDs within the steady season, which is tie for the fourth-longest streak through a 49ers quarterback for the reason that merger. He was once particularly efficient when coping with stress extreme season. From Month 13 on, he had the second-highest finishing touch share (58.3%) and second-highest yards in step with effort (8.2) when harassed.
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Elijah Mitchell. In educator Kyle Shanahan’s schemed run match, you’ll be able to tag Mitchell as one of the vital league’s peak additional runners. If Christian McCaffrey had been to omit future, Mitchell would journey up as an RB2 together with his decisive operating taste and short-area pace to form dashing totals. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football draft rankings
Daring prediction for 2023: George Kittle will succeed in 1,000 receiving yards for the primary future since 2019. Regardless of fewer receiving yards over the month few seasons, Kittle’s receiving talent hasn’t wavered. In each and every of the month 4 seasons, he has ranked within the peak two within the receiver monitoring metrics’ general rating amongst tight ends. He additionally established a rapport with Purdy past due extreme season that can repay in 2023. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC East: 25%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 52%
Projected wins: 9.4
Power of agenda: 5th toughest
What do the Dolphins do the most productive?
Stretch a protection, as any offense with large receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle will have to. The Dolphins had been tie for many completions of fifty or extra yards (8) within the NFL extreme season, and more than likely would have led outright if quarterback Tua Tagovailoa remained wholesome all of the season. He’s again then an offseason focused on his durability, and Miami will have to be alike (or at) the peak of the league on this division as soon as once more. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
What’s the Dolphins’ largest disorder?
Particular groups. The Dolphins had been one of the vital worst groups within the NFL at returning and protecting returns. Dolphins fighters began drives with the third-best reasonable discipline place (minus-27.6) within the league extreme season, which put a pressure on their protection. It’s an discipline that should strengthen this season; and the addition of former All-Professional returner Braxton Berrios will have to support. — Louis-Jacques
Stat to grasp: With the likes of Hill and Waddle downfield, Tagovailoa ranked first in finishing touch share (59%) and yards in step with effort (15.9) on throws a minimum of 15 yards downfield in 2022. He additionally transformed a primary indisposed on 57 passes of a minimum of 15 yards, which was once tie for moment within the NFL.
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB De’Von Achane. Achane was once operating thru a shoulder injury in camp, however the rookie has the flexible talent prepared to be deployed from more than one alignments in educator Mike McDaniel’s device, just like the run match, fly sweeps and receiving objectives. Achane is a unexpected mover with playmaking characteristics. Operating again Jeff Wilson Jr. will omit time to start the season. — Bowen
Extra: Matt Bowen’s favorite draft targets (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: The Dolphins will end as a top-three protection when it comes to EPA allowed in step with play games, even with cornerback Jalen Ramsey anticipated to miss most of the regular season. With defensive take on Christian Wilkins, cornerbacks Xavien Howard and Kader Kohou, edge rushers Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb, protection Jevon Holland and linebacker David Long Jr., there’s residue skill for Vic Fangio to paintings with for this protection not to be excellent. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC West: 27%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 52%
Projected wins: 9.4
Power of agenda: 7th toughest
What do the Chargers do the most productive?
Throw the ball. It’s obvious that the offense is at its ultimate when enabling quarterback Justin Herbert to make use of his arm power to throw downfield to any of his playmakers — all of whom he has established a at ease reference to. In 3 seasons, Herbert has thrown for 14,089 yards (probably the most thru a participant’s first 3 seasons in NFL historical past) and 94 touchdowns (the second one maximum thru a participant’s first 3 seasons in historical past — Dan Marino, 98). — Lindsey Thiry
What’s the Chargers’ largest disorder?
Lack of certainty at operating again and tight stop. Operating again Austin Ekeler is the established starter, however it’s non-transperant if Joshua Kelley and Isaiah Spiller have made enough quantity exit of their construction to grant Ekeler a breather and be relied directly to shoulder some load. At tight stop, the place the Chargers opted to not upload intensity within the draft, Gerald Everett will probably be trusted because the starter with Donald Parham Jr. at the back of him. — Thiry
Stat to grasp: The Chargers have grand expectancies for protection Derwin James Jr. in 2023. He is a flexible defender — 55% of his snaps extreme season got here at protection, however he additionally spent 25% of the future as an outdoor linebacker and either one of his interceptions got here as a cornerback. James is certainly one of 3 gamers over the month two seasons with 5 sacks, 5 pressured fumbles and 10 passes defended (Isaiah Simmons, T.J. Watt).
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Isaiah Spiller. Spiller is competing with Kelley for the Disagree. 2 position at the back of Ekeler. I’m having a bet at the upside of Spiller, given his second-level elusiveness and lower-body stability. He may just emerge because the peak insurance coverage again for the Chargers. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football players to avoid: The Do Not Draft list (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Herbert will supremacy all non-Mahomes quarterbacks in QBR. The whole lot is there for him — sturdy receivers, excellent move coverage and a unutilized offensive coordinator in Kellen Moore. Herbert has had a terrific begin to his profession, however he’ll whip any other step in 2023. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC North: 28%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 60%
Projected wins: 9.8
Power of agenda: seventeenth toughest
What do the Ravens do the most productive?
Post issues. Since 2019, the Ravens have averaged 26.9 issues with Lamar Jackson as their inauguration quarterback — which is just about what the Chiefs have averaged with Mahomes over that span (27.3). Now, Jackson has the most productive supporting forged of his six-year profession with the addition of large receivers Odell Beckham Jr. and Zay Flowers. The Ravens additionally hired Todd Monken as their offensive coordinator then his offense averaged 40.7 issues extreme season at Georgia. — Jamison Hensley
What’s the Ravens’ largest disorder?
Cornerback. With Marlon Humphrey in all probability lacking the beginning of the season after having foot surgery, the Ravens’ peak choices at cornerback are 3 gamers who’re coming off accidents: Rock Ya-Sin, Ronald Darby and Jalyn Armour-Davis. Baltimore struggled mightily the extreme future Humphrey was once sidelined. When Humphrey overlooked the extreme 5 video games in 2021, the Ravens allowed an NFL-worst 294.6 yards passing in step with match and 12 landing passes (moment worst within the league). — Hensley
Stat to grasp: The Ravens’ receiving corps mixed for 1,517 yards extreme season, fewest within the NFL and the fewest mixed yards through a large receiver staff in one season since … the Ravens in 2019. Baltimore made an aim to deal with that infection through including first-rounder Flora and a three-time Professional Bowler in Beckham this offseason.
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Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Rashod Bateman. The oft-injured Bateman has performed a complete of nineteen video games thru his first two seasons, and Baltimore upgraded its perimeter objectives with Beckham and Flora. If wholesome, then again, Bateman silent suits as an intermediate goal — with catch-and-run talent — in a unutilized Ravens device that can develop extra area within the move match. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football ‘do draft’ list (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Ronnie Stanley will probably be named a first-team All-Professional take on. When the oft-injured Stanley is at the discipline, the efficiency has been there. Stanley ranked 9th in run prevent win charge extreme yr and would have ranked fourth in move prevent win charge had he certified. Now all he has to do is keep wholesome, and he’s an instantaneous contender. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC East: 21%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 47%
Projected wins: 9.2
Power of agenda: 6th toughest
What do the Jets do the most productive?
Frustrate opposing quarterbacks. With a 10-man defensive-line rotation and lockdown corners in Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed, the Jets remove the passer in waves and squeeze quarterbacks into throwing risk free passes over the center. The Jets allowed a league-low 15 landing passes extreme season and solely 5.5 yards in step with dropback, moment solely to the Eagles. You’ll’t live to tell the tale in a passing league and not using a sturdy move protection, and the Jets have one. — Lavish Cimini
What’s the Jets’ largest disorder?
Offensive tackles. The Jets have sturdiness issues at each take on spots. Left take on Duane Brown had no training camp then getting better from rotator-cuff surgical procedure, and he simply grew to become 38. Projected proper take on Mekhi Becton, taking part in on a twice-repaired proper knee, hasn’t played a complete game since 2020. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers wishes coverage. Over the month 3 years, he has the second-highest General QBR on performs when the protection doesn’t get a pass-rush win, however that drops to twenty eighth when the protection has a minimum of one pass-rush win on a play games. — Cimini
Stat to grasp: Rodgers has thrown for 4,000 yards in 10 seasons of his profession — that’s tie with Matt Ryan for the 5th maximum all-time. The Jets have had one season with a 4,000-yard passer of their historical past — 1967 through Joe Namath, the primary participant to move for 4,000 yards in a season in NFL historical past.
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Allen Lazard. Lazard averaged 11.7 PPR issues in step with match extreme season with Rodgers in Inexperienced Bay, and it’s a unbroken transition to the Jets, the place former Packers coordinator Nathaniel Hackett is now operating the offense. Lazard has the upside of a WR3 in deeper leagues. — Bowen
Extra: NFL Nation answers questions for your fantasy draft board
Daring prediction for 2023: Bryce Huff will in spite of everything get extra taking part in future and select up a minimum of 8 sacks. The additional edge rusher has had fantastic numbers when at the discipline, with a 30% move remove win charge and 15% stress charge. In line with NFL Nearest Gen Stats, the ones percentages would have ranked first and fourth, respectively, had he performed enough quantity snaps to qualify. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC East: 33%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 68%
Projected wins: 9.5
Power of agenda: eleventh toughest
What the Cowboys do the most productive?
Rattle the quarterback and whip the ball away. Those two issues travel hand in hand. With Micah Parsons, DeMarcus Lawrence, Dorance Armstrong, Dante Fowler Jr. and Sam Williams, the Cowboys are deep with stress gamers. Closing yr, the Cowboys completed tie for 1/3 in sacks with 54 and led the league in takeaways with 33. They’re going to glance to be the primary group for the reason that 1972-74 Pittsburgh Steelers to supremacy the league in takeaways for 3 directly years. The addition of Stephon Gilmore, a former Defensive Participant of the Week, to enrich Trevon Diggs, who has 17 interceptions in 3 years, makes the Cowboys much more ambitious within the secondary. — Todd Archer
What’s the Cowboys’ largest disorder?
Offensive fold intensity. And this isn’t a Cowboys-only do business in. It’s leaguewide. Past their 5 starters, they don’t have skilled intensity. Left take on Tyron Smith has performed in 17 of a imaginable 50 regular-season video games with Mike McCarthy as educator. Proper take on Terence Steele is getting back from a significant knee injury. If the Cowboys lose a number of in their starters — and historical past says they’re going to for a minimum of a couple of video games — later they’re going to be examined and possibly pressured to transform their offensive plan. — Archer
Stat to grasp: Receiver Brandin Cooks provides Dallas a deep ultimatum and a participant who can generate break-up. Closing season, the Cowboys had 4 receptions on passes thrown 30-plus yards downfield, the same quantity as Chefs had on his personal in 13 video games.
1:28
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Domonique Foxworth explains a state of affairs during which Dak Prescott may just win NFL MVP this season.
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Deuce Vaughn. Vaughn flashed all through the preseason, the usage of his short-area pace and optic to seek out sunlight as a runner — there’s some juice to his match. Now, it’s at the rookie to fasten indisposed the Disagree. 2 position at the back of starter Tony Pollard in Dallas, developing fiction possible as an insurance coverage play games. — Bowen
Extra: Field’s fantasy favorites for the 2023 NFL season (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Parsons will split the single-season sack file. Positive, he’s by no means had greater than 13.5 sacks in a season. However he’s additionally by no means no longer led the league in move remove win charge. Together with his outstanding talent and excellent nook play games at the back of him, I believe this might be the yr for Parsons’ sack quantity to burst. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC North: 43%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 65%
Projected wins: 9.3
Power of agenda: eleventh absolute best
What do the Lions do the most productive?
Rating. In the back of a powerful offensive fold, which is returning Professional Bowlers Penei Sewell and Frank Ragnow, the Lions averaged the fifth-most issues scored (25.7) in 2022. They’ve added operating backs Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery and rookie tight stop Sam LaPorta, year returning large receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown and quarterback Jared Goff, who wish to select up the place they left off then successful 8 in their ultimate 10 video games extreme yr. — Eric Woodyard
What’s the Lions’ largest disorder?
Quicken protection. As an entire, all of the Lions protection struggled extreme season, however in particular in opposition to the run, the place fighters averaged 5.2 yards in step with lift, which tie for the second one maximum within the league. The inner defensive fold silent wishes paintings, however they’re hoping Alim McNeill and Isaiah Buggs at the side of Aidan Hutchinson and John Cominsky will support them get off to a powerful get started. — Woodyard
Stat to grasp: A topic for the Lions extreme season was once their protection, which had the second-worst potency (39.59) within the NFL, forward of solely the Bears, who had the worst file within the NFL. The move protection was once in particular sinister as Detroit ranked extreme within the NFL in QBR allowed (58.1). In consequence, the Lions made over their secondary within the offseason, signing 3 unutilized starters in Cameron Sutton, Emmanuel Moseley and C.J. Gardner-Johnson.
Untruth sleeper candidate: TE Sam LaPorta. I’d whip a late-round shot on LaPorta in deeper leagues. The rookie will get started the season because the Disagree. 1 tight lead to Detroit’s play-action-heavy move match. He can stretch the seams, flex exterior and rumble then the catch. He’s a rugged mover with 4.59 pace. — Bowen
Extra: Mike Clay’s 2023 NFL Betting Props Playbook (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Jameson Williams will end the season as a top-20 fiction large receiver in issues in step with match performed then he returns from his six-game suspension for violating the NFL’s gambling policy. Had it no longer been for his torn ACL in his left knee that he suffered at Alabama, Williams more than likely would had been drafted upper than twelfth general extreme yr. With that trauma within the rearview reflect, I’m having a bet on a participant significance that form of draft capital. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC South: 54%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 62%
Projected wins: 9.3
Power of agenda: 8th absolute best
What do the Jaguars do the most productive?
Rating issues. The Jaguars, led through quarterback Trevor Lawrence, had been tenth in issues scored extreme season. And it’s Week 2 in educator Doug Pederson’s device, so there can be a bounce in manufacturing — like what came about together with his Philadelphia offense in 2017. The group added receiver Calvin Ridley, who had 1,374 yards receiving in his extreme complete season (2020), and two newcomers who can have bulky roles: operating again Tank Bigsby and tight stop Brenton Strange. — Mike DiRocco
What’s the Jaguars’ largest disorder?
Cross remove. The Jaguars had 35 sacks extreme season (ranked twenty fifth), misplaced a key contributor (Arden Key), didn’t draft a pass-rusher till the 5th around and haven’t signed an to be had veteran. They’re reckoning on former Disagree. 1 select Travon Walker to construct a vital bounce (he had 3.5 sacks as a rookie) and on linebacker Josh Allen to form greater than he did extreme season. Allen’s 64 quarterback pressures ranked fourth within the NFL, however he had solely seven sacks. — DiRocco
Stat to grasp: The Jaguars want Lawrence to start out the season like he ended extreme season. In the second one half of of 2022, Lawrence’s QBR jumped from 44.3 to 63.9, his finishing touch share rose from 62.5% to 69.7%, and his touchdown-to-interception ratio went from 10-6 to 15-2.
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Tank Bigsby. An a Disagree. 2 possibility at the back of starter Travis Etienne Jr., the rookie can play games downhill and to find sunlight in zone run schemes. Bigsby doesn’t convey high-level receiving characteristics to the professionals, however he would raise to the RB2 ranks if Etienne had been to omit future. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Daring prediction for 2023: The Jaguars will end extreme in move prevent win charge, and the offensive fold will sink any possibilities of them being an fresh Tremendous Bowl contender. Lawrence can have a low sack charge as a result of he’s excellent at keeping off sacks, however the fold will weigh down the group’s passing potency. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC North: 17%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 44%
Projected wins: 9.1
Power of agenda: 18th toughest
What do the Browns do the most productive?
Quicken the passer. All-Professional Myles Garrett hasn’t ever had a teammate succeed in double-digit sacks. That would exchange with the arriving of Za’Darius Smith, who has completed with 10-plus sacks in 3 of the month 4 seasons and seems to be over the knee trauma that plagued him extreme yr. Garrett was once probably the most double-teamed edge rusher (31.1%) within the league extreme yr. If that continues, Smith can have plethora of favorable alternatives to get to the quarterback. — Jake Trotter
What’s the Browns’ largest disorder?
Particular groups. The Browns have attempted to deal with their particular groups woes. In 2022, they drafted kicker Cade York within the fourth around and signed Professional Bowl returner Jakeem Grant Sr. They even switched particular groups coaches. However York’s struggles caused the Browns to cut him extreme moment and industry for kicker Dustin Hopkins. Serve suffered a season-ending injury all through the preseason for a moment directly yr. In consequence, particular groups proceed to be a significant query mark. — Trotter
Stat to grasp: The Browns have completed 15 consecutive seasons with a adverse level differential, a streak that dates again to 2008. This is tie for the longest streak of its sort in NFL historical past (with the Buccaneers, 1982-1996). Can Garrett’s protection and Deshaun Watson‘s offense snap the streak in 2023?
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Elijah Moore. Moore’s versatility as a movement/motion participant within the Browns’ offense will have to generate alternatives on manufactured touches. Plus, he can function out of the slot for Watson. With an expected bump in general quantity, Moore is significance a late-round select in deeper leagues. — Bowen
Extra: Adam Schefter’s fantasy football cheat sheet (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: The Browns will win six or fewer video games or 11 or extra — incorrect in-between. As a result of Watson, that is the best variance group within the league. If he’s the Watson of 2019, the Browns are Tremendous Bowl contenders. If he’s the Watson of 2022, they’ll be a large number. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC West: 14%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 33%
Projected wins: 8.4
Power of agenda: 8th toughest
What do the Broncos do the most productive?
Quicken the passer. The Broncos want Randy Gregory to have a complete, fertile season of labor — he hasn’t ever performed greater than 14 video games in any season — and for Frank Clark to muster a few of his postseason mojo into the steady season. Jonathon Cooper has been probably the most constant of the rushers in camp and preseason video games, Nik Bonitto has proven he’s in a position for a bounce in manufacturing, they usually be expecting Baron Browning again from knee surgical procedure someday then Month 4. With Gregory main the way in which, the move remove is one to observe. — Jeff Legwold
What’s the Broncos’ largest disorder?
Intensity. The Broncos dealing 5 first- or second-round choices — and 6 choices general — within the month two years to industry for Russell Wilson and coach Sean Payton has this group slim in plethora of spots. The reserves (the second one and 1/3 groups) have no longer held their very own within the preseason video games or joint practices with the Rams. If accidents to starters lump up, the Broncos can have a infection. — Legwold
Stat to grasp: Payton’s Saints groups averaged 27.6 issues in step with match all through his 15 seasons as head educator, the best for any educator within the Tremendous Bowl hour (min. 40 video games). This can be a welcome visual for a Broncos group that completed extreme with 16.9 PPG in 2022.
1:40
Will Russell Wilson permit Sean Payton to educator him?
Booger McFarland questions whether or not Sean Payton’s training can convey out the most productive in Russell Wilson this season with the Broncos.
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Marvin Mims Jr. A burner with 4.3 pace, Mims is an explosive-play goal who can stretch defenses and assault discoverable area then the catch. Moment his course tree will wish to make bigger within the professionals, he has the characteristics to win schemed matchups within the unutilized Denver move match below Payton. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football Ultimate Draft Board (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Wilson will end within the peak 16 in QBR. This one scares me as it in reality may just travel the alternative means, because it did in 2022. However even in 2021, when Wilson was once a ways from his height, he completed tenth, and I’m banking on a ambitious Wilson, now being coached through Payton, appearing that he silent has one thing left within the tank. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC West: 27%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 54%
Projected wins: 8.7
Power of agenda: nineteenth toughest
What do the Seahawks do the most productive?
Safeguard. This can be a projection based totally extra on how sturdy the Seahawks’ secondary seems now than how that staff performed extreme season. It was once cast in 2022. Seattle’s protection completed with the third-lowest opponent General QBR (49) but in addition allowed 53 move performs of a minimum of 20 yards, tie for 8th maximum. It will have to be higher in 2023, particularly at cornerback. Seattle drafted Devon Witherspoon at Disagree. 5 and may just see a bounce from Riq Woolen, who made the Professional Bowl as a rookie extreme yr in his 1/3 complete season on the place. — Brady Henderson
What’s the Seahawks’ largest disorder?
Run protection. It’s a minimum of the largest query mark, as it’s complicated to believe the Seahawks being as sinister in opposition to the run as they had been extreme yr, once they allowed the third-most dashing yards (2,554) of any group and misplaced a minimum of 5 video games as a result of it. They overhauled their entrance seven, highlighted through their free-agent splurge on Dre’Mont Jones and a reunion with Bobby Wagner. They must be higher in opposition to the run to have any prospect of catching the 49ers within the NFC West. — Henderson
Stat to grasp: Quarterback Geno Smith was once a bulky reason why for the Seahawks’ good fortune in 2022. Smith prepared the single-season Seahawks file for passing yards (4,282) and finishing touch share (69.8%). To support out Smith, the Seahawks drafted receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba with certainly one of two first-round picks. Smith-Njigba joins Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf within the receivers room. There were solely 5 cases in NFL historical past of a group having 3 gamers who recorded 1,000 receiving yards in one season — the extreme being the Cardinals in 2008.
Untruth sleeper candidate: TE Noah Fant. Fant, who averaged 7.7 PPR issues in step with match in 2022, suits as a deeper-league TE2 with the bodily profile to form at the bootleg/play-action ideas of the Seahawks’ offense. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football mock draft: 12-team, PPR
Daring prediction for 2023: Abraham Lucas will end as a top-10 take on in move prevent win charge. He ranked seventeenth in 2022 — awfully notable as a rookie — and raising to a top-10 take on in Week 2 can be an implausible go back on a third-round select. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC North: 26%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 49%
Projected wins: 8.5
Power of agenda: 14th toughest
What do the Vikings do the most productive?
Getting the ball to Justin Jefferson. Even with opposing defenses keying on Jefferson, the Vikings understand how to mass-target him in significant and fertile techniques. His NFL-high 181 objectives extreme season integrated 35 tight-window objectives (NFL Nearest Gen Stats). Mentor Kevin O’Connell and quarterback Kirk Cousins know Jefferson is a superb guess to run their whole offense thru. Closing season, Jefferson rewarded them with a receptions above anticipated charge of 14.8%, through a ways the most productive within the NFL. — Kevin Seifert
What’s the Vikings’ largest disorder?
Confirmed move remove. The Vikings have just one participant on their roster who has accomplished a double-digit-sack season: exterior linebacker Danielle Hunter. Outdoor linebacker Marcus Davenport has some one-on-one talent. However for probably the most section, in the event that they’re going to position stress at the quarterbacks, the Vikings will want both the emergence of a up to now neglected pass-rusher or, much more likely, dynamic schemes from defensive coordinator Brian Flores. — Seifert
Stat to grasp: The Vikings’ offense will glance in particular other following the departures of operating again Dalvin Cook and receiver Adam Thielen. Minnesota ran 1,123 offensive performs extreme season and both Prepare dinner or Thielen was once at the discipline for 1,059 of them (94%).
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR K.J. Osborn. Osborn has plethora of pageant for objectives taking part in at the back of receivers Jefferson and Jordan Addison, plus tight stop T.J. Hockenson. On the other hand, Osborn can have alternatives to form in three-WR units within the Vikings’ pass-heavy offense. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football draft rankings
Daring prediction for 2023: Ty Chandler will break in because the Vikings’ peak operating again and supremacy them in dashing yards through the top of the season. Alexander Mattison has recorded adverse remove yards over expectation in each and every of the month two seasons (minus-42 in 2022, minus-72 in 2021), in step with NFL Nearest Gen Stats. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC North: 11%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 34%
Projected wins: 8.5
Power of agenda: twelfth absolute best
What do the Steelers do the most productive?
Quicken the passer. The Steelers have former Defensive Participant of the Week T.J. Watt anchoring one aspect, they usually signed Alex Highsmith to an extension within the offseason following a career-best 14.5-sack season. And at the back of Watt and Highsmith, the Steelers have the most productive intensity they’ve had lately. They signed Markus Golden in unfastened company and drafted Wisconsin linebacker Nick Herbig within the fourth around. At 6-2, 228 kilos, Herbig has been a nice amaze within the preseason with 3.5 sacks in 3 video games. — Brooke Pryor
What’s the Steelers’ largest disorder?
Offensive fold. It’s complicated to totally gauge an offensive fold ahead of the beginning of the steady season, and the inauguration unit has carried out neatly in tiny in-game pattern sizes. Each the run blockading and move coverage have seemed higher than they did even past due extreme season — did you catch the superbly banned 62-yard Jaylen Warren preseason touchdown? — however the largest take a look at will come Month 1 in opposition to a 49ers protection that added former Steeler Hargrave to a entrance that already has reigning DPOY Nick Bosa — holdout however. — Pryor
Stat to grasp: May just quarterback Kenny Pickett have a breakout sophomore season? It’s imaginable, given the truth that he had a better finishing touch share (63%), General QBR (52) and yards in step with effort reasonable (6.2) than Lawrence had in his rookie season. And Pickett can have a couple of gifted pass-catchers to support. In 2022, Diontae Johnson earned the most productive rating at getting discoverable within the NFL, year George Pickens was once tie for the peak rating at catching the soccer, in step with ESPN Analytics receiving metrics.
Untruth sleeper candidate: QB Kenny Pickett. As a rookie, Pickett averaged 11.5 fiction issues in step with match, however he’s in place to construct a second-year bounce. Pickett has the mobility so as to add dashing totals for your lineup, and the Steelers attribute a flexible staff of pass-catchers who can develop certain matchups. — Bowen
Extra: Matt Bowen’s favorite draft targets (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Warren will end the season with extra touches than Najee Harris. Harris recorded minus-116 dashing yards over expectation extreme season, in step with NFL Nearest Gen Stats (Warren was once plus-8), and Warren was once tie for moment amongst operating backs in receiver monitoring metrics’ general rating. In alternative phrases, Warren is the simpler runner and pass-catcher. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC East: 6%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 19%
Projected wins: 7.5
Power of agenda: Toughest
What do the Patriots do the most productive?
Quicken the passer. 4-time Professional Bowl exterior linebacker Matthew Judon has 28 sacks over the month two seasons. The Patriots have a knack for developing disruption for opposing quarterbacks with a scheme that manufactures stress depending on numerous twists and stunts led through Judon. — Mike Reiss
What’s the Patriots’ largest disorder?
Offensive fold. Founding guards Cole Strange (left leg/knee) and Mike Onwenu (offseason ankle surgical procedure) and swing offensive take on Calvin Anderson (non-football condition) have only recently returned to follow then lacking maximum of coaching camp, and it’s been a aim to piece in combination a peak fold. When it does occur, will the skill point be adequate? — Reiss
Stat to grasp: Mac Jones and the Patriots’ offense had a difficult future adjusting to week with out an legit offensive coordinator in 2022. The Patriots scored 31 offensive touchdowns, 17 fewer than they did in 2021. Their pink zone potency additionally dipped considerably as they scored a landing on a league-worst 42% in their pink zone drives (19 TDs in 45 journeys). With Bill O’Brien as their offensive coordinator and quarterbacks educator, Jones may glance extra like his rookie-year self in 2023.
Untruth sleeper candidate: TE Hunter Henry. The Patriots signed any other tight lead to Mike Gesicki, however Henry silent has fiction price as a TE2 in O’Brien’s offensive device. Plus, Jones is at his ultimate when throwing timing routes to the center of the discipline. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football players to avoid: The Do Not Draft list (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Henry will form a profession grand in receiving yards. Henry completed fourth in discoverable rating (68) amongst tight ends a yr in the past, and I’m having a bet at the Patriots offense to kick it up a notch or 3 below the route of an offensive coordinator with enjoy, neatly, coordinating an offense. Henry’s career-high receiving yardage is solely 652, so that is undoubtedly inside succeed in. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC East: 11%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 36%
Projected wins: 7.9
Power of agenda: tenth toughest
What do the Giants do the most productive?
Quicken the passer. “Pressure breaks pipes.” It’s a pronouncing that defensive coordinator Wink Martindale lives through. The Giants harassed opposing quarterbacks on 30.5% of dropbacks extreme season, in keeping with NFL Nearest Gen Stats. That was once 8th ultimate within the NFL. With the hopeful emergence of Kayvon Thibodeaux in Week 2 and a more fit season from Azeez Ojulari, that quantity will have to solely arise. — Jordan Raanan
What’s the Giants’ largest disorder?
Cross blockading. The inner of the offensive fold and proper take on Evan Neal all include questions. Neal was once 58th out of 64 qualifying tackles extreme season with an 81.1% move prevent win charge. He must strengthen tremendously. Mix that with suspicion at shield and a rookie heart in John Michael Schmitz Jr. and a dozen will experience at the training body of workers’s talent to scheme round this deficiency. — Raanan
Stat to grasp: The Giants traded for tight stop Darren Waller to support whip their passing match to the after point, particularly given Daniel Jones‘ good fortune when throwing to tight ends. Closing season, Jones ranked 5th within the NFL in General QBR (89.2) and finishing touch share (77.9) when concentrated on the placement.
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Isaiah Hodgins. The Giants have plethora of pageant of their large receiver room, however I’d whip a prospect on Hodgins according to his tape and numbers in 2022. Over the overall 5 weeks of the season, Hodgins posted 4 video games with 14 or extra PPR issues — and he did that with Jones concentrated on him in any respect 3 ranges of the discipline. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football ‘do draft’ list (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Thibodeaux and Ojulari will each clash 10 sacks. Taking part in in Martindale’s blitz-heavy scheme, the sack alternatives will have to be there, and each gamers submit above reasonable move remove win charges at edge a season in the past. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC South: 41%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 58%
Projected wins: 8.9
Power of agenda: Perfect
What do the Saints do the most productive?
Spreading the ball round. That wasn’t the case extreme yr when rookie Chris Olave had 72 receptions and 1,042 yards because of accidents in other places, however it’s undoubtedly been the components to good fortune within the month. And that’s what the Saints have proven in camp and plan on doing in 2023. The Saints received’t put the whole thing at the shoulders of Olave or Michael Thomas with alternative possible pass-catchers like tight stop Juwan Johnson, operating again Alvin Kamara and various others anticipated to be circled into the combo. — Katherine Terrell
What’s the Saints’ largest disorder?
Forcing surrenders. For as excellent because the Saints’ protection has been all-around in recent years, it had a hideous drop-off in its takeaway/surrender ratio extreme season. Its internet differential of minus-11 was once thirty first within the league in 2022, and that is one thing it has labored to strengthen. The Saints hope that a number of unutilized faces at the defensive training body of workers and getting a wholesome cornerback Marshon Lattimore again then he overlooked half of of extreme season will swing issues again of their partial. — Terrell
Stat to grasp: Derek Carr is the Saints’ new quarterback and may just grant some balance on the place that has been absent since Drew Brees retired. Carr is certainly one of 5 quarterbacks to throw for a minimum of 3,500 yards in each and every of the month 5 seasons, at the side of Tom Brady, Mahomes, Rodgers and Cousins.
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Rashid Shaheed. Shaheed had double-digit PPR manufacturing in 5 of the 12 video games he performed extreme season. He’s a vertical goal who additionally has route-running chops to discover beneath — and he can scoot then the catch. — Bowen
Extra: NFL Nation answers questions for your fantasy draft board
Daring prediction for 2023: Olave will succeed in 1,500 receiving yards. Olave completed 7th within the receiver monitoring metrics’ general rating (77) as a rookie. That integrated completing 8th in probably the most impressive division for moment manufacturing, which is discoverable rating (82). With higher quarterback play games, the field rating stats will practice. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC South: 33%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 51%
Projected wins: 8.5
Power of agenda: 2d absolute best
What do the Falcons do the most productive?
Run the ball. To be unclouded — the Falcons will have to throw the ball greater than extreme season, however Atlanta returns a 1,000-yard rusher in second-year professional Tyler Allgeier (1,035 yards), drafted offensive possibility Bijan Robinson with the Disagree. 8 general select and silent has Cordarrelle Patterson (4.8 yards in step with lift extreme season). Regardless of who the Falcons put within the backfield extreme season, they had been a success (4.9 yards in step with lift as a group, rating fourth within the NFL). With the opportunity of extra unpredictability in Atlanta’s offense, it might discoverable up extra alternatives for larger dashing beneficial properties in 2023. — Michael Rothstein
What’s the Falcons’ largest disorder?
Intensity at large receiver. That is tough with Atlanta as a result of how it’ll usefulness all of its talent place gamers as pass-catchers in lieu of the normal operating again/large receiver/tight stop. Atlanta has a possible famous person in Drake London, and Mack Hollins is coming off a profession yr in Las Vegas (695 yards). In the back of them, incorrect receiver has 1,000 profession yards, and solely KhaDarel Hodge and Scott Miller have vital enjoy. It doesn’t glance as sinister whilst you recall to mind Kyle Pitts, Jonnu Smith, Robinson and Patterson as pass-catchers, too, however the receiver place is slim on enjoy. — Rothstein
Stat to grasp: A possible upside to quarterback Desmond Ridder‘s match is a deficit of errors. Regardless of going through enough quantity pass-rush stress to form 9 sacks in his first 4 video games, Ridder didn’t throw a unmarried interception in 115 passes. He has a prospect to split the NFL file for many makes an attempt previous to his first profession interception (211, Kyler Murray).
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Tyler Allgeier. A major insurance coverage play games at the back of Robinson in 10- and 12-team leagues, Allgeier additionally has deeper-league price given the weighty running-game manner of the Falcons’ offense. In 2022, Allgeier averaged 10 PPR issues in step with match. — Bowen
Extra: Field’s fantasy favorites for the 2023 NFL season (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: A.J. Terrell will regain his 2021 method and be named both first- or second-team All-Professional. Terrell led exterior corners with the bottom yards in step with protection snap allowed (0.6) and general EPA allowed (minus-29) in 2021, in step with NFL Nearest Gen Stats, however he ranked extreme within the ultimate division in 2022 (plus-28). Regardless of his beggarly 2022, his play games two years in the past confirmed he can also be in reality elite. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC South: 23%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 31%
Projected wins: 7.9
Power of agenda: 7th absolute best
What do the Titans do the most productive?
Preventing the run. The protection makes it complicated for opposing groups to run the ball. Simply ask Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins. “They were No. 1 against the run last year for a reason,” Cousins stated then joint practices. Tennessee allowed a league-best 76.9 dashing yards in step with match extreme yr. Defensive lineman Jeffery Simmons stated it’s one thing they pleasure themselves on. The entrance 4 with Simmons and Teair Tart constantly penetrate the backfield, and the exterior linebackers prepared the threshold year within backers fill the gaps. Additionally they have tone tacklers at the backend. — Turron Davenport
What’s the Titans’ largest disorder?
Offensive fold. Middle Aaron Brewer is the one returning starter, and he’s shifting from left shield. Left take on Andre Dillard joins the group then 3 seasons in Philadelphia. Rookie Peter Skoronski is at left shield then most commonly taking part in left take on at Northwestern. The fitting aspect of the fold is a larger query mark. Daniel Brunskill comes over then 19 begins at proper shield over the extreme two seasons with the 49ers. However 2022 starter Nicholas Petit-Frere‘s abeyance for violating the league’s gambling policy created a void at proper take on. Chris Hubbard has an within observe to start out the season there. — Davenport
Stat to grasp: DeAndre Hopkins, in his first season with the Titans, has been one of the vital peak wideouts within the NFL since he entered the league in 2013. He has 853 profession receptions, the fourth maximum through any participant inside his first 10 seasons in NFL historical past at the back of Marvin Harrison (927), Brandon Marshall (882) and Torry Holt (869). His former group, the Cardinals, was once considerably simpler with Hopkins. Arizona scored 6.4 extra issues in step with match (25.9 in comparison to 19.5) when he performed.
Untruth sleeper candidate: TE Chigoziem Okonkwo. Okonkwo has been a peak sleeper select all offseason then averaging 14.1 yards in step with catch — on 32 receptions — extreme season. He enters 2023 because the Titans’ Disagree. 1 tight stop, with a talent prepared to develop second-level matchups and to find discoverable grass within the Titans’ schemed play-action ideas. — Bowen
Extra: Mike Clay’s 2023 NFL Betting Props Playbook (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: The Titans will lose a minimum of 12 video games. That is the yr all of it in spite of everything breaks indisposed. The offensive fold is simply too sinister, Derrick Henry and Hopkins are too impaired, and the offense ceases to serve as at a contending point. I’ve misplaced through having a bet in opposition to Mike Vrabel ahead of, however I’m giving it any other shot. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC North: 17%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 37%
Projected wins: 7.9
Power of agenda: 6th absolute best
What do the Bears do the most productive?
Run the soccer. Justin Fields‘ explosive operating talent helped him amass 1,143 dashing yards, the second-most ever through a quarterback, and helped the Bears submit the most productive dashing offense in 2022 (177.3 yards in step with match). Chicago will silent depend on Gardens’ legs in positive conditions — just like the low pink zone — however the group is aiming to whip that burden off Gardens with its flexible backfield. Khalil Herbert led all operating backs with 5.7 yards in step with lift in 2022, and he’s the supremacy again in Chicago’s committee manner, which may also usefulness D’Onta Foreman, Roschon Johnson and fullback Khari Blasingame. — Courtney Cronin
What’s the Bears’ largest disorder?
Lack of certainty alongside the O-line. The Bears had their projected inauguration 5 in a position to travel through the top of the spring just for an injury to left shield Teven Jenkins to pressure a shuffle up entrance. All in their starters except for left take on Braxton Jones have overlooked future in coaching camp because of trauma. The Bears are banking on higher move coverage to support Gardens and the passing offense whip the after step, however those trauma setbacks may just show negative for attaining that feat. — Cronin
Stat to grasp: Closing season, Chicago was once certainly one of two groups within the NFL that didn’t have a large receiver file a minimum of 500 receiving yards. Input unutilized Bears receiver DJ Moore, who has tallied over 1,000 yards in 3 of his 5 seasons within the NFL.
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Roschon Johnson. The Bears’ operating again room is crowded, however Johnson has the tough north/south operating characteristics to emerge this season as an early-down again who has pass-catching talent out of the backfield. In his ultimate season at Texas, Johnson averaged 3.96 yards in step with lift then first touch. He’s a late-draft upload as a bench stash. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Daring prediction for 2023: Gardens will submit a double-digit sack charge once more. Closing yr, Gardens was once at 12.5% and was once the one quarterback in double digits (league reasonable was once 6.3%). Sacks are in large part a quarterback stat, so even if the Bears may really feel like they’ve progressed their offensive fold, Gardens should strengthen to recovery that quantity. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC North: 14%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 33%
Projected wins: 7.7
Power of agenda: 9th absolute best
What do the Packers do the most productive?
Blockading. The Packers ranked 5th in move prevent win charge (66.8%) and 8th in run prevent win charge (72.4%) extreme season and go back all in their key offensive linemen from extreme season. That are supposed to construct week a minute more straightforward for quarterback Jordan Love, who loved stellar move coverage all through coaching camp and the preseason. — Rob Demovsky
What’s the Packers’ largest disorder?
Revel in. This will probably be one of the vital youngest — if no longer the youngest — staff of receivers and tight results in the league. Their maximum skilled receivers are second-year professionals Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson. Their Disagree. 3 receiver can be rookie Jayden Reed. They’ve just one tight stop with NFL enjoy (Josiah Deguara), and he’s extra of a fullback/H-back. Their alternative two tight ends are newcomers (Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft). — Demovsky
Stat to grasp: What’s the possible ceiling for Love in 2023 then he performed sparingly in his first 3 profession seasons? Since 1950, probably the most landing passes through a quarterback in his fourth profession season then inauguration one or fewer video games of their first 3 seasons is 28, achieved through Aaron Rodgers.
1:14
Kimberley A. Martin: Jordan Love doesn’t wish to be Aaron Rodgers
Kimberley A. Martin insists Jordan Love simply wishes to concentrate on his personal match with the Packers this season.
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Jayden Reed. There’s a trail for Reed to peer constant quantity as a slot goal for Love. Reed can observe the ball vertically, and he will have to even be deployed as a middle-of-the-field goal on outlined play-action throws in educator Matt LaFleur’s offense the place he can usefulness his catch-and-run talent. — Bowen
Extra: Adam Schefter’s fantasy football cheat sheet (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: The Packers will win the NFC North. Is it so far-fetched? Love is supported through a powerful offensive fold and has a minimum of one excellent receiver in Watson. This group has actual skill defensively, too. And LaFleur were given greater than anticipated out of the Packers’ roster previous to extreme season. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC West: 4%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 11%
Projected wins: 6.8
Power of agenda: Fourth toughest
What do the Raiders do the most productive?
Run the ball. Josh Jacobs, who extreme season led the NFL in dashing yards (1,653), yards from scrimmage (2,053) and touches (393), didn’t report to the Raiders because of a agreement dispute till coaching camp and the exhibition season was once over. So how positive is that fold between rest and rust? As Jacobs put it then his first follow since January, “Physically, I ain’t missed a step.” That might portend excellent issues for the Raiders at the farmland. Once more. — Paul Gutierrez
What’s the Raiders’ largest disorder?
Takeaways. The Raiders had been extreme within the league with 13 takeaways extreme season, together with an NFL-low six interceptions. So forcing surrenders has been some extent of emphasis during camp and the exhibition season. As an example — protection Isaiah Pola-Mao‘s 50-yard pick-six in opposition to the Rams. “I always tell my D-linemen, ‘Go eat. It’s our job to clean you up,'” linebacker Robert Spillane stated. “I get safeties behind me, ‘Go fly around, we’ll make you right.’ So, it’s that three levels of trust throughout a defense that really has been coming together.” — Gutierrez
Stat to grasp: Protection was once a infection in Las Vegas extreme season. The Raiders’ protection allowed a General QBR of 55 (which ranked thirty first within the NFL) and their 27 sacks had been thirtieth within the league. Maxx Crosby — who accounted for almost half of of the Raiders’ sacks extreme season (46%) — wanted some support, so the Raiders drafted defensive stop Tyree Wilson Disagree. 7 general. Wilson averaged 4.3 QB pressures in step with match extreme season, probably the most within the FBS.
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Zamir White. Jacobs signed his franchise tag, however White remains to be a impish sleeper play games within the Raiders’ backfield. Together with his downhill energy and lateral quicks, White may just deposit right into a quantity position if Jacobs misses some match motion. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football Ultimate Draft Board (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: The Raiders will end with a top-10 scoring offense. Jimmy Garoppolo is taking part in at the back of a cast offensive fold and has a stunning receiving mixture in Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers. Plus, the Raiders’ protection will probably be so sinister, which can lead to plethora of shootouts. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC East: 5%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 18%
Projected wins: 6.7
Power of agenda: 9th toughest
What do the Commanders do the most productive?
Play games protection. Closing season, Washington ranked 1/3 in yards allowed in step with match (304.6) and had the NFL’s ultimate third-down protection with a conversion share of 31.9%. Tackles Daron Payne and Jonathan Allen method one of the vital ultimate inner duos within the league. Plus, stop Chase Young seemed fast off the ball this summer time ahead of a stinger injury in his neck restricted him. They reinforced the secondary with Disagree. 16 general select, nook Emmanuel Forbes. And the secondary’s intensity and flexibility will let them cover coverages higher. — John Keim
What’s the Commanders’ largest disorder?
Offensive fold. Washington made over its fold then extreme season when it had one of the vital worst teams within the NFL. The Commanders have unutilized starters at 4 fold positions, so they continue to be a piece in exit in addition to a query mark. They deficit high-end skill (incorrect first-rounders at the roster and one picked in the second one) and skilled intensity. The run blockading has been cast this summer time, and an emphasis on fast passes and RPOs will have to support the security. If this staff has a excellent yr, so will the Commanders. — Keim
Stat to grasp: Offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, in his first season with the Commanders, has the cruel process of turning round an offense that has struggled to seek out consistency below educator Ron Rivera. Over the extreme 3 seasons, the Commanders rank twenty seventh in issues in step with match (19.8), twenty ninth yards in step with play games (5.0) and feature the league’s third-lowest group General QBR (39).
0:42
Why Daniel Dopp likes Commanders RB duo Robinson and Gibson
Daniel Dopp says Brian Robinson Jr. and Antonio Gibson grant excellent intensity on the operating again place for fiction managers.
Untruth sleeper candidate: QB Sam Howell. In Washington, Howell has the receiving skill to form as a thrower, and his second-reaction talent will develop scramble alternatives to plank dashing yards to your lineup. He has been a goal for me this summer time in superflex codecs. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football mock draft: 12-team, PPR
Daring prediction for 2023: Jacoby Brissett will break in as inauguration quarterback through Month 7. I’m fearful about Howell’s grand sack charges and sack-to-pressure charges in faculty and the way that pairs with a vulnerable Commanders inner offensive fold. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC South: 17%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 30%
Projected wins: 7.5
Power of agenda: Fourth absolute best
What do the Panthers do the most productive?
Power the quarterback. The prospective is there with the transfer from a 4-3 scheme to a 3-4, however the Panthers haven’t performed their peak two pass-rushers (Brian Burns and Justin Houston) in a preseason match, so there’s a dozen of unknown. On the other hand, with Burns coming off a career-best 12.5 sacks, Houston off a 9.5-sack season and each being in a protection that prospers on stress and sacks, this will have to be a power. — David Newton
What’s the Panthers’ largest disorder?
Intensity at large receiver. Adam Thielen is cast and DJ Chark Jr. can also be when he’s no longer injured (hamstring). Later that, the Panthers are depending on rookie Jonathan Mingo, still-trying-to-prove-himself Terrace Marshall Jr. (who’s coping with a again trauma) and Laviska Shenault Jr., who is also higher at operating again than receiver. That’s no longer a in particular stellar staff for rookie quarterback Bryce Young to rely on. — Newton
Stat to grasp: Younger will glance to noticeably strengthen Carolina’s quarterback play games on 1/3 indisposed, which has been the worst within the league when it comes to QBR (21) over the extreme two seasons. Younger ranked moment within the FBS in yards in step with effort (10.4), first downs (107) and passing touchdowns (26) extreme season.
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR DJ Chark Jr. In 11 video games performed with the Lions extreme season, Chark posted 4 weeks of 14 or extra PPR issues. In Carolina, he’ll be a vertical stretch goal who will also be schemed discoverable on deep crossers in educator Frank Reich’s offense. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football draft rankings
Daring prediction for 2023: Younger will supremacy the league in interceptions thrown. He’s a rookie quarterback with a ton of room for error, incorrect chance of shedding the inauguration task and is taking part in with a particularly shaky receiver staff. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC West: 7%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 19%
Projected wins: 6.8
Power of agenda: fifteenth toughest
What do the Rams do the most productive?
Throw the ball. The Rams have completed within the peak 5 in passing yards in step with match in 3 of the month 5 seasons, and it took the slow-motion disillusion of the Sean McVay-Jared Goff partnership in 2020 and a lump of accidents and group of workers gaffes extreme yr for it to not occur in the ones alternative two cases. Matthew Stafford averaged 262.7 yards passing throughout the first six video games of 2022, in spite of being below siege taking 22 sacks ahead of sooner or later breaking indisposed at the back of a turnstile of an offensive fold. Give him and McVay a modicum of balance up entrance and Cooper Kupp at receiver to focus on, and Los Angeles will to find techniques to wind it out. — Dan Greenspan
What’s the Rams’ largest disorder?
Cross remove. With Aaron Donald, the Rams have one heck of a inauguration level, however the residue of the defensive entrance is totally unproven. Regardless of being restricted through accidents, Donald had 5 sacks extreme season. Defensive lineman-turned-outside linebacker Michael Hoecht had 4.5 sacks as a place starter, and that makes him probably the most completed pass-rusher no longer named Donald at the roster. Byron Young seems like he can construct his mark off the threshold as a rookie, and Los Angeles may just at all times signal a veteran, however past Donald, there is not any simple task this protection gets to the quarterback. — Greenspan
Stat to grasp: Cam Akers is having a look to whip a bulky bounce for this then season. Akers ended the 2022 season with 3 directly 100-yard dashing video games. Handiest 4 Rams gamers recorded 4 directly 100-yard dashing video games over the month 30 seasons.
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Why Daniel Dopp likes Commanders RB duo Robinson and Gibson
Daniel Dopp says Brian Robinson Jr. and Antonio Gibson grant excellent intensity on the operating again place for fiction managers.
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Van Jefferson. With Kupp struggling a setback on a hamstring injury, the door is discoverable for Jefferson to peer a bump in early-season quantity. He’s a late-round upload who suits as an intermediate goal within the Rams schemed passing assault. — Bowen
Extra: Matt Bowen’s favorite draft targets (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: The Rams will industry Donald ahead of the cut-off date. Barring surprising first-half good fortune, it simply makes residue sense for the Rams to money in on Donald — who remains to be stunning however is 32 years impaired — instead than operating out the clock on his profession. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC South: 12%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 17%
Projected wins: 7.1
Power of agenda: 3rd absolute best
What do the Colts do the most productive?
Cover in opposition to the run. The Colts, led through the internal defensive fold duo of DeForest Buckner and Grover Stewart, are constantly cast in opposition to the run. The protection completed 5th in yards in step with lift allowed extreme season (4.1) and was once 7th in remove protection anticipated issues added (33.11). The presence of linebacker Zaire Franklin, the NFL’s fourth-leading tackler with 166 tackles extreme season, performs a bulky position on this good fortune, too. — Stephen Holder
What’s the Colts’ largest disorder?
Intensity. First- and second-year gamers dominate the Colts’ secondary, the offensive fold is slim, and unproven gamers are occupying key roles at large receiver. And that’s with out the needful accidents cropping up simply but. The Colts had a reasonably wholesome coaching camp and preseason, however the nature of the NFL is such that accidents are inevitable. Will the Colts have enough quantity to climate the ones setbacks? — Holder
Stat to grasp: Rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson has the functions to increase performs and construct probably the most out of a sinister status. Richardson was once sacked on 9.4% of his pressures extreme season, the seventh-lowest charge of all Energy 5 quarterbacks. Plus, his 22 damaged tackles was once tie with KJ Jefferson for probably the most of any FBS QB.
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Alec Pierce. Richardson is an visible selection right here, however let’s travel with Pierce (in non-PPR codecs) as a third-level goal for the rookie quarterback. Pierce averaged 14.7 yards in step with catch in 2022 year including 14 explosive-play receptions. That matches with Richardson’s high-level arm skill. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football players to avoid: The Do Not Draft list (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Later completing extreme in move prevent win charge in 2022, the Colts will rebound to a top-half end. If Quenton Nelson and Braden Smith can rebound to their 2021 method, that will construct a bulky remaining then each disenchanted in 2022. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win AFC South: 11%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 15%
Projected wins: 6.8
Power of agenda: 5th absolute best
What do the Texans do the most productive?
Restrict passing offenses. On paper, their secondary might be impressive if the inauguration staff of cornerbacks, Derek Stingley Jr., Steven Nelson and Tavierre Thomas, pair neatly with the protection duo of Jalen Pitre and Jimmie Ward in head educator DeMeco Ryans’ scheme. Ryans’ device suits their play games taste higher than below former educator Lovie Smith, or even in that device extreme season, that they had extra interceptions (16) than allowed passing touchdowns (15, the league low). — DJ Bien-Aime
What’s the Texans’ largest disorder?
Huge receiver. The receiver room should show it will probably raise rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud. Rookie Tank Dell has proven possible together with his quickness, Nico Collins flashes dynamic vertical talent and Robert Woods can be a veteran protection blanket for Stroud. On the other hand, consistency was once a topic around the staff all through camp. The skill is there, however the staff struggled to constantly get discoverable indisposed the discipline to develop explosive performs. — Bien-Aime
Stat to grasp: When no longer below stress extreme season at Ohio Climate, Stroud had the second-highest QBR and the sixth-highest TD-INT ratio. His QBR when no longer harassed was once considerably upper (91.7) than when harassed (37.1). And even though Houston did upload shield Shaq Mason, this offensive fold ranked seventeenth in move prevent win charge and twenty eighth in run prevent win charge extreme season.
Untruth sleeper candidate: WR Nico Collins. A late-round possibility in 10-12 group leagues, Collins will have to see a spice up in goal quantity and receiving manufacturing with rookie quarterback Stroud now the Texans’ inauguration quarterback. He’s an extended (6-foot-4) receiver with matchup talent. — Bowen
Extra: Fantasy football ‘do draft’ list (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: Will Anderson Jr. will rank within the peak 10 in move remove win charge at edge. He was once an elite chance who blew away my draft projections for possibilities, and the Texans gave up a ton to get him. Be expecting him to form immediately. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC South: 8%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 16%
Projected wins: 6.4
Power of agenda: tenth absolute best
What do the Buccaneers do the most productive?
Catch the soccer. Even with receiver Russell Gage now out for the season, the Bucs might silent have one of the vital gifted receiving corps within the NFL with Professional Bowlers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, plus fast rookie Trey Palmer and 5-foot-8 Deven Thompkins, who has the catch radius of any person a few base taller. Quarterback Baker Mayfield can have choices on this offense. — Jenna Laine
What’s the Buccaneers’ largest disorder?
Operating the ball. The Buccaneers had 1,308 general dashing yards with 3.4 yards in step with lift extreme season — each the worst within the NFL. First-year offensive coordinator Dave Canales has introduced in a large and midzone dashing scheme that would support strengthen this, however Tampa Bay goes to be fielding any other remade offensive fold so be expecting there to be rising pains. — Laine
Stat to grasp: Mayfield, who’s on his fourth group, would be the Month 1 starter. Since Mayfield’s debut in 2018, he has a 42% finishing touch share on throws 20-plus yards downfield, which ranks 9th out of 33 quarterbacks with 100 such makes an attempt in that span. On throws not up to 20 yards downfield, Mayfield’s 64% finishing touch share ranks thirty ninth of 42 qualifiers.
Untruth sleeper candidate: RB Sean Tucker. In a Bucs offense that can attribute weighty run-game parts and play-action ideas, it’s worthwhile to clutch Tucker as late-round flier at the back of starter Rachaad White. The rookie can deal with early-down quantity and form between the tackles. — Bowen
Extra: NFL Nation answers questions for your fantasy draft board
Daring prediction for 2023: 3 quarterbacks (Mayfield, Kyle Trask and John Wolford) will get started for the Bucs this season. It’s complicated to think about any of them putting onto the task. — Walder
Full schedule | Roster | Depth chart
ESPN FPI’s probabilities to win NFC West: 2%
Probabilities to construct the playoffs: 4%
Projected wins: 5.1
Power of agenda: thirteenth toughest
What do the Cardinals do the most productive?
Get to the quarterback. The Cardinals had 14 quarterback pressures of their first two preseason video games, together with two sacks of Denver quarterback Russell Wilson, of their unutilized scheme below unutilized defensive coordinator Nick Rallis. Arizona has proven, albeit all through this preseason, that they may be able to blitz and feature the group of workers to stress the quarterback. — Josh Weinfuss
What’s the Cardinals’ largest disorder?
Masking the move match. The cornerback status remains to be in limbo, with more youthful corners like Marco Wilson, Christian Matthew and Kei’Trel Clark all anticipated to have vital roles this season. And with the hot industry of protection Isaiah Simmons, how Arizona will deal with the nickel remains to be unknown. There’ll be some rising pains early on, however how Arizona can cancel the bulky performs will dictate how the secondary will fare. — Weinfuss
Stat to grasp: Kyler Murray is out at least through Week 4, and the Cardinals absolved additional Colt McCoy, so Arizona will get started Joshua Dobbs or rookie Clayton Tune in Month 1. Music was once decided on 139th on this yr’s NFL draft. If he will get the beginning, he will be the lowest-drafted quarterback to start out a season opener as a rookie since Randy Hedberg in 1977.
Untruth sleeper candidate: TE Trey McBride. With Zach Ertz but to go back from a knee injury suffered extreme season, McBride is a deeper-league goal to observe. The second one-year professional stuck 20 of 29 objectives for 291 yards over the overall 5 weeks of 2022, and he has the receiving characteristics to paintings more than one ranges of the discipline. — Bowen
Extra: Field’s fantasy favorites for the 2023 NFL season (ESPN+)
Daring prediction for 2023: The Cardinals will win in Month 1 in opposition to the Commanders … later lose each match for the residue of the season. Having a look at this Murray-less roster, this Cardinals group is shaping as much as be traditionally sinister. As soon as Murray is wholesome, it’ll be too past due, and the group might come to a decision to easily saving his condition. — Walder
