The Week 6 NFL schedule for the 2023 season is stacked with splendid matchups, and we’ve you coated with what you wish to have to grasp heading into the weekend. Our NFL Folk newshounds deliver us the most important keys to each competition and a daring prediction for each and every matchup.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Knowledge supplies a fat stat to grasp and a betting nugget for each and every competition, and our Football Power Index (FPI) is going throughout the numbers with a competition projection. Analytics editor Seth Walder selections out each and every matchup’s largest X issue, and myth analyst Eric Moody fingers out useful fantasy football intel. In the end, Walder and Moody give us ultimate rating picks for each competition. The entirety you need to grasp is right here in a single spot to support you get in a position for a loaded weekend of NFL football.
Let’s get into the total Year 6 slate, together with a Ravens-Titans showdown in London, a Belichick-McDaniels reunion in Vegas and an NFC North matchup between the Vikings and Bears. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night Football” matchup between the Cowboys and Chargers on ESPN. (Recreation instances are Sunday until differently famous.)
Leap to a matchup:
BAL-TEN | SF-CLE | SEA-CIN
MIN-CHI | WSH-ATL | CAR-MIA
IND-JAX | NO-HOU | NE-LV
ARI-LAR | PHI-NYJ | DET-TB
NYG-BUF | DAL-LAC
Thursday: KC 19, DEN 8
Bye: GB, PIT
9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Community | Spread: BAL -4 (41)
Storyline to observe: The Titans have scored touchdowns on handiest 35.3% in their purple zone visits this season, touchdown them in a connect with the Texans for 0.33 worst within the NFL. In the meantime, the Ravens’ purple zone protection has giving up touchdowns on an NFL-low 25% of opposing offenses’ visits throughout the 20-yard order. Getting seven issues rather of kicking farmland targets may well be the excess, as 3 of the Titans’ 5 video games this season had been determined through one rating. — Turron Davenport
Daring prediction: Zay Flowers will rating his first occupation TD. The Ravens rookie receiver is definitely due; Plants is fasten with Jaguars tight finish Evan Engram for essentially the most catches this season (29) with out attaining the tip zone. However the Titans’ secondary has been just right, given up simply 5 passing touchdowns to this point. — Jamison Hensley
Stat to grasp: The Titans have scored fewer than 30 issues in 23 instantly video games, the longest lively streak within the NFL and the longest in franchise historical past.
Matchup X issue: Titans defensive lineman Denico Autry. When coated up as an edge rusher, Autry has a 24% move scurry win price, which might rank proper at the edge of the manage 10 if he certified. And he has 4 sacks. Autry has the prospective to disrupt the Baltimore move competition. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: Titans cornerback Kristian Fulton has giving up 267 yards this season. Josh Downs, Ja’Marr Chase, Michael Pittman Jr. and others have exploited this matchup all season. Jackson and Plants must do the similar. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: Each groups have had 4 in their first 5 video games this season travel below the entire, together with 3 instantly. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Ravens 28, Titans 23
Walder’s pick out: Ravens 24, Titans 20
FPI prediction: BAL, 68.7% (through a mean of 6.7 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Beckham says ankle better, but he has to improve … Titans sticking to same routine as 2018 in search of first win in London … Ravens receivers will ‘be better’ after 5-drop game … Titans’ Fulton on penalties: Hard to play against refs and WRs
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: SF -6.5 (37)
Storyline to observe: This competition pits one of the most NFL’s splendid offenses towards certainly one of its splendid defenses. The 49ers are Refuse. 2 in offensive potency (87.1), date the Browns are Refuse. 1 in defensive (87.0). The 49ers have scored 30 issues in 8 instantly video games, the fifth-longest streak in NFL historical past — however the Browns have giving up simply 5 offensive touchdowns all season. — Jake Trotter
Daring prediction: 49ers defensive finish Nick Bosa gets 3 sacks. In spite of getting constant drive, Bosa has simply 1.5 sacks in the course of the first 5 video games. However there’s reason why to imagine a breakout is coming. Browns quarterbacks are averaging 3.09 seconds to throw, the second-slowest common within the league. Maximum groups emphasize getting the ball out fast towards the Niners, however that hasn’t been a energy of Cleveland. Regardless who begins at QB for the Browns, Bosa can get his sack general again on the right track right here. — Nick Wagoner
Stat to grasp: This will probably be Cleveland defensive finish Myles Garrett‘s 89th occupation competition. His 80 sacks are the 0.33 maximum through any participant in his first 90 occupation video games since 1982, when sacks become legitimate, next Corridor of Famer Reggie White (98) and the Steelers’ T.J. Watt (83.5).
Matchup X issue: 49ers offensive take on Trent Williams. One of the crucial handiest tactics the Browns can win this competition is that if Garrett takes over — which he can. However thankfully for the Niners, Garrett normally strains up towards the left take on, and that’s the place the energy in their offensive order lies. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: San Francisco lets in the eighth-fewest myth issues consistent with competition to working backs. Managers who’re considering of launch Jerome Ford must imagine different choices. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The 49ers are 4-0-1 towards the unfold (ATS) this season with 3 instantly covers. They’re the one crew left with out an ATS loss. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: 49ers 28, Browns 14
Walder’s pick out: 49ers 23, Browns 17
FPI prediction: SF, 66.2% (through a mean of five.8 issues)
Matchup must-reads: 49ers receivers must clear out defenders before catching passes … How Jim Schwartz has transformed the Browns’ defense … 49ers send strong statement to NFL with domination of Cowboys
1:44
Kittle on 49ers’ sizzling get started: We needed to accident the grassland working this season
George Kittle joins Pat McAfee to split indisposed the crew’s motivation going into this season next their loss to the Eagles within the NFC Championship competition.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: CIN -2.5 (45)
Storyline to observe: This competition will probably be motivated through how neatly Bengals QB Joe Burrow and the offense reply to Seahawks’ move scurry. Seattle ranks fourth within the NFL in move scurry win price (55%), and its defensive entrance has the Bengals’ complete consideration. That crew will probably be a splendid check for Burrow’s mobility as he continues to improve from his calf shock. — Ben Child
Daring prediction: The Seahawks will blitz Burrow early and regularly. When burdened this season, Burrow ranks akin the base of the NFL in yards consistent with struggle (3.1, thirty first), of completion proportion (36.4%, twenty sixth) and QBR (10.7, twenty fourth). That’s most probably a fabricated from his injured calf, regardless that it didn’t appear to impact him as a lot last week. With Jamal Adams again from his concussion, the Seahawks — coming off their 11-sack efficiency towards the Giants — will come next Burrow till he proves he can beat their blitzes together with his arm and/or legs. — Brady Henderson
Stat to grasp: The Bengals have gained six instantly regular-season video games towards NFC combatants, the second-longest lively win streak vs. the opposing convention. (The Eagles have gained 8 instantly vs. the AFC).
Matchup X issue: Seahawks cornerbacks Riq Woolen and Michael Jackson. The reemergence of the Burrow-Ja’Marr Chase connection endmost hour makes the Bengals unhealthy once more. But when the Seahawks’ corners can decelerate Chase, the Bengals’ offense may scuffle with Tee Higgins questionable to play games. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Seahawks’ protection has allowed the second-most myth issues consistent with competition to vast receivers. This is a just right signal for myth managers who’ve Burrow, Chase or any other Bengals pass-catcher on their crew. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Seahawks have coated in 3 instantly video games. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Bengals 30, Seahawks 20
Walder’s pick out: Seahawks 29, Bengals 21
FPI prediction: SEA, 53.5% (through a mean of one.3 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Seahawks trends to watch … Chase called for the ball, then set a Bengals record … Burrow created ‘special magic’ in breakout performance
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: MIN -2.5 (44.5)
Storyline to observe: Two vast receivers are within the highlight for this NFC North showdown for contrasting causes. The Vikings will probably be with out Justin Jefferson next a hamstring injury landed him on injured reserve, date Chicago’s DJ Moore is coming off a efficiency towards Washington that earned him NFC Offensive Participant of the Year (230 receiving yards, 3 touchdowns). Jefferson and Moore rank 0.33 (571) and 5th (531), respectively, amongst all gamers in receiving yards getting into Year 6. — Courtney Cronin
Daring prediction: Justin Fields could have extra passing yards than Kirk Cousins. Subjects has thrown for 617 yards in his year two video games, the fourth maximum within the NFL over that extend. Cousins has the NFL’s second-most passing yards this season (1,498), however the Vikings are positive to dial again their passing competition within the being lacking Jefferson. — Kevin Seifert
Stat to grasp: The Vikings are 1-4 this season in one-score video games (11-0 endmost season). They’re the one crew to play games in 5 one-score video games in 2023.
Matchup X issue: Moore. He’s an offseason acquisition who seems to be understanding. Along with recording greater than 500 yards in 5 video games, Moore leads all vast receivers and tight results in the Receiver Tracking Metrics‘ Total Rating (85) — which measures receivers’ skills to get distinguishable, build the catch and generate yards next the catch, all relative to expectation. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Bears’ protection provides up the third-most myth issues consistent with competition to working backs. The Vikings must see impartial to sure competition current towards Chicago, which bodes neatly for Alexander Mattison‘s myth outlook. In 4 of his 5 video games this season, he has scored 10 or extra myth issues. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: All 5 Bears video games have long gone over the entire this season. Vikings video games are 4-1 to the over with 3 instantly overs. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Bears 28, Vikings 24
Walder’s pick out: Vikings 34, Bears 20
FPI prediction: MIN, 59.6% (through a mean of three.4 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Cousins says trade talk ‘not worth my time’ … Coming off 5-sack effort, Bears hoping to energize defense … What’s next for the Vikings without Jefferson?
0:33
Why Matt Bowen sees DJ Moore as a WR1 in Year 6
Matt Bowen explains why DJ Moore must be began in all myth lineups in Year 6.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: ATL -2.5 (42.5)
Storyline to observe: This may increasingly as soon as once more be a surprisingly near competition — and historical past proves it. The Falcons and Commanders performed in 2021 (Washington gained with 33 seconds left) and in 2022 (Marcus Mariota threw an interception within the Washington finish zone with 1:03 extra), with Washington successful each instances. The fat key will probably be at the strains, the place Washington’s proficient defensive entrance will struggle to reason havoc for Atlanta quarterback Desmond Ridder, who has been sacked 16 instances in 5 video games. — Michael Rothstein
Daring prediction: Washington defensive finish Chase Young will drive a fumble or interception through Ridder. Younger has 3 sacks in his 4 video games and was once extremely lively within the loss to Chicago in Year 4, with a move scurry win price of 36.4%. — John Keim
Stat to grasp: Washington quarterback Sam Howell has been sacked an NFL-high 29 instances this season. David Carr (39 in 2002) is the most-sacked quarterback thru a crew’s first six video games of a season since sacks had been first tracked in 1963.
Matchup X issue: The Commanders’ move scurry. In spite of having fat names, the Commanders rank simply twenty sixth in move scurry win price. Ridder has taken sacks at a higher-than-average 9% price, so this can be a fat alternative to get the unit going. — Walder
Accidents: Commanders | Falcons
What to grasp for myth: Managers must mood expectancies in relation to talent place gamers at the Commanders. The Falcons’ protection is permitting handiest 3.8 yards consistent with dashing struggle to opposing working backs. Atlanta’s protection additionally does a splendid task containing vast receivers, given up the sixth-fewest myth issues consistent with competition to the placement. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Falcons are 0-4 ATS of their year 4 video games. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Falcons 23, Commanders 19
Walder’s pick out: Falcons 19, Commanders 16
FPI prediction: ATL, 58% (through a mean of two.8 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Rivera: No staff changes amid Commanders’ skid … Pitts trending in the right direction … Three reasons for Commanders’ Thursday night flop vs. Bears
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: MIA -13.5 (48.5)
Storyline to observe: In spite of their 0-5 checklist, the Panthers’ competitive protection has discovered some good fortune this season in getting next opposing quarterbacks. Carolina has the fourth-highest sack price within the NFL, coupled with the second-best third-down protection (29.8%). Alternatively, the Panthers additionally personal through some distance the league’s worst anticipated issues allowed (EPA) when protecting the run (minus-14.4) and can face a Dolphins offense that ranks moment in EPA consistent with scurry (16.8). — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Daring prediction: The Dolphins gained’t manage the 70 issues that they had previous this time towards Denver — however will manage 50. The Carolina protection may well be with out two of its secondary starters and most likely 3 if cornerback Donte Jackson has a setback. Miami gets some support from its protection with a landing towards a Panthers offense that surrendered 21 issues off submits endmost hour in a 42-24 loss to the Lions. — David Newton
Stat to grasp: The Dolphins have 2,568 general yards of offense this season, essentially the most thru 5 video games in NFL historical past. Miami wishes 489 extra Sunday to move the 2000 Rams (3,056) for many yards thru six video games.
Matchup X issue: Last unexpected occasions. I’m looking to believe which participant goes to swing this competition and, neatly, it’s taking to rush greater than that. Wild climate? Odd fumble success? Tua Tagovailoa waking up at the flawed aspect of the mattress? The Panthers may want all 3. — Walder
Accidents: Panthers | Dolphins
What to grasp for myth: Over the year 4 video games, Panthers receiver Adam Thielen has averaged 11 goals. In 3 of the ones 4 video games, he scored 20 or extra myth issues. Thielen must be busy towards the Dolphins in a matchup the Panthers usually are taking part in from at the back of. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Panthers are 0-4-1 ATS this season. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Dolphins 42, Panthers 23
Walder’s pick out: Dolphins 29, Panthers 12
FPI prediction: MIA, 87.6% (through a mean of 15.8 issues)
Matchup must-reads: How Tagovailoa shaped the path of Young … With Achane on IR, Dolphins look to Mostert & Co. to fill the void … Burns vents over Panthers’ struggles in rebuilding year
1:46
Is the drive already on Bryce Younger to be successful?
Chuck Pagano, Pat McAfee and A.J. Hawk speak about Bryce Younger’s struggles early in his NFL occupation.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: JAX -4 (45.5)
Storyline to observe: Minshew Mania returns to its birthplace. Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew spent his first two seasons with the Jaguars and went 7-13 as a starter in 2019-20 earlier than the crew drafted Trevor Lawrence Refuse. 1 general in 2021. The larger go back, alternatively, is Indy working again Jonathan Taylor to a bigger function. He has i’m in a hurry for 522 yards and 3 touchdowns in 5 video games towards the Jaguars. The Jaguars’ protection has been excellent towards the run to this point, permitting 81.6 yards consistent with competition (ranked 5th within the NFL). That’s the matchup that may resolve the end result. — Mike DiRocco
Daring prediction: The Colts will scurry for a blended 200-plus yards next averaging 148 yards the year 4 video games. This would be the moment competition with Taylor again at the farmland, and lecturer Shane Steichen mentioned he intends to offer Taylor an larger function Sunday along veteran Zack Moss. The Colts are anticipated to incline closely on their working competition, with launch quarterback Anthony Richardson now on injured store and anticipated to miss four or more games on account of a shoulder shock. — Stephen Holder
Stat to grasp: Lawrence has a 75 QBR (score fourth within the NFL) and a 7.7% off-target proportion (moment lowest within the NFL) towards zone protection this season. That’s noteceable since the Colts virtue zone protection on the Tenth-highest price within the NFL.
Matchup X issue: Colts edge rusher Kwity Paye. He’s taking part in reverse Jaguars rookie take on Anton Harrison (70.1%), who has the worst move prevent win price at take on within the league. Paye has a probability to throw Lawrence off his competition. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Colts’ protection has giving up the ninth-most myth issues consistent with competition to vast receivers. Calvin Ridley must be in myth lineups Sunday. He leads the Jaguars with 15.1 yards consistent with reception. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: Minshew is 8-14 ATS in his year 22 begins. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Jaguars 28, Colts 23
Walder’s pick out: Colts 23, Jaguars 21
FPI prediction: JAX, 65.5% (through a mean of five.5 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Keeping Richardson healthy already a major issue for Colts … How the Jaguars dealt with travel fatigue in preparation for Colts
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: NO -1.5 (42.5)
Storyline to observe: Two strengths will accident Sunday, because the Saints have allowed the sixth-lowest QBR (46.4), and their seven interceptions are fasten for 0.33 maximum within the NFL. At the turn aspect, Texans rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud is 0.33 in passing yards (1,461) and hasn’t thrown an interception in an NFL-record 186 passes. — DJ Bien-Aime
Daring prediction: The Saints will finish Stroud’s historical streak through giving him his first interception. They’ve already fasten endmost season’s interception general, and they’ve an interception in 4 of 5 video games (and a yield in they all). With the Saints’ knack for forcing submits this season, it kind of feels like they may pop out on manage in that regard. — Katherine Terrell
Stat to grasp: Unutilized Orleans working again Alvin Kamara has 50 occupation dashing touchdowns, two shy of tying Mark Ingram for essentially the most in Saints historical past. Kamara become the Saints all-time chief in general touchdowns (73) endmost hour towards the Patriots, passing Marques Colston.
Matchup X issue: Saints proper take on Ryan Ramczyk. He’s one of the most splendid tackles within the league, however he has a key project towards Refuse. 3 general pick out Will Anderson Jr. this hour. Anderson hasn’t had a sack in 4 video games, however they’re coming, as he ranks 5th in move scurry win price at edge. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Texans’ protection lets in the seventh-most myth issues consistent with competition to working backs, and Kamara has scored 19 or extra myth issues in two consecutive video games. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Saints have long gone below the entire in 11 instantly video games, fasten with the 2003 Expenses for the longest such streak within the year 35 seasons. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Texans 20, Saints 17
Walder’s pick out: Texans 27, Saints 17
FPI prediction: NO, 54.3% (through a mean of one.5 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Could Saints’ stingy D be first to pick off Stroud? … Texans feel ‘very close’ to getting run game, Pierce on track … Moreau scores 1st TD since cancer diagnosis … Stroud sets record for passes without pick to start career
4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: LV -3 (41.5)
Storyline to observe: The Patriots had been outscored through a blended 72-3 within the year two video games. The Raiders’ protection has giving up simply 13 issues within the year six quarters date forcing 4 submits in that span. But the training workers are so in detail regular with each and every different, given such a lot of Unutilized England ties at the Raiders’ workforce, that fresh historical past must be thrown to the air. — Paul Gutierrez
Daring prediction: The Patriots, who’ve a league-low two takeaways, will fit their season general towards former Patriots QB Jimmy Garoppolo, who has thrown seven interceptions this season. In the meantime, Raiders kicker Daniel Carlson, who eager the NFL checklist for farmland targets of 50-plus yards endmost season (11) however is 0-for-2 on such makes an attempt this time, will ship his first from lengthy territory in 2023. — Mike Reiss
Stat to grasp: Raiders lecturer Josh McDaniels is 2-0 towards Patriots lecturer Invoice Belichick. He seeks to secured Dave Wannstedt as the one coaches to defeat Belichick and the Patriots in each and every in their first 3 conferences.
Matchup X issue: Raiders edge rusher Maxx Crosby. All of us noticed what he can do Monday night time towards the Packers. Towards a susceptible Patriots offensive order, the probability is ripe for a repeat efficiency. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Patriots vast receivers rank akin the base of the league in relation to growing divorce, in keeping with NFL Then Gen Stats. Unutilized England’s offensive order additionally ranks thirtieth in move prevent win price. It’s no longer a splendid aggregate for a suffering Patriots passing competition. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Raiders are 0-3 ATS on decrease left-overs below McDaniels, with all 3 video games going below the entire. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Raiders 17, Patriots 14
Walder’s pick out: Patriots 15, Raiders 12
FPI prediction: LV, 55.6% (through a mean of two issues)
Matchup must-reads: Could fixing the Patriots’ offense include benching Jones? … Adams ‘glad to get that win’ vs. former Packers team … Is Adams satisfied? The star receiver opens up
1:42
Schefter joins McAfee to speak Belichick’s while with Patriots
Adam Schefter joins Pat McAfee to talk about Invoice Belichick’s while with the Patriots. (edited)
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: LAR -7 (48.5)
Storyline to observe: With working again James Conner on injured reserve because of a knee injury, the Cardinals don’t have any other again with greater than 48 dashing yards to this point. However the Rams’ scurry protection ranks twenty fifth in DVOA and allowed 159 dashing yards to the Eagles in Year 5. — Sarah Barshop
Daring prediction: Cardinals quarterback Joshua Dobbs will build up for Conner’s absence and feature the most productive competition of his occupation. He’ll throw for greater than 300 yards and scurry for a minimum of 100 towards a Rams protection that ranks sixteenth in opponent scoring (21.6 issues allowed consistent with competition) within the Cardinals’ moment win of the season. — Josh Weinfuss
Stat to grasp: Dobbs has thrown six passing touchdowns thru his first 5 video games with the Cardinals. He wishes 4 extra to connect Gary Hogeboom for essentially the most landing passes (10) thru a participant’s first six video games with Arizona.
Matchup X issue: Cardinals working again Emari Demercado. With Conner injured, Demercado could be the only to hold the workload in his absence. We all know the Cardinals will wish to run the ball, so he must play games a fat function on this competition. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: Rams QB Matthew Stafford has averaged 290.2 passing yards consistent with competition and has Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua as his manage two receivers. On the subject of myth issues allowed consistent with competition, Arizona’s protection has allowed the seventh-most issues to vast receivers and the 0.33 maximum to quarterbacks. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Rams are 5-0-1 ATS of their year six video games following a loss. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Rams 28, Cardinals 21
Walder’s pick out: Rams 27, Cardinals 14
FPI prediction: LAR, 72.7% (through a mean of 8.3 issues)
Matchup must-reads: With Conner on IR, what’s next for Cardinals’ offense? … Nacua, Kupp tandem is a ‘champagne problem’ for Rams … First-quarter struggles keep putting Cardinals ‘behind the eight ball’ … McVay says Jefferson trade was best for both sides
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: PHI -7 (41)
Storyline to observe: This competition options two of essentially the most fertile working backs within the NFL — the Eagles’ D’Andre Swift (434 yards, fourth in dashing yards) and the Jets’ Breece Hall (387, 6th), who’s coming off a 177-yard gem in a win over the Broncos. The Jets’ probabilities of pulling off the dissatisfied — and their first-ever win over the Eagles — hinge on a fat competition from Corridor, who’s absolutely recovered from endmost season’s ACL surgery. — Lavish Cimini
Daring prediction: Eagles receiver DeVonta Smith will supremacy the best way with 120-plus receiving yards. The Eagles’ talent gamers rush turns dominating the stat sheet. A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert have taken heart degree in fresh weeks. Coming off a one-catch trip towards the Rams, Smith will emerge as the focus to penetrate a Jets move protection that has restricted offenses to 206 passing yards consistent with competition and is fasten for fourth within the NFL in interceptions (5). — Tim McManus
Stat to grasp: Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has 55 rushes (essentially the most amongst QBs), 206 dashing yards (moment maximum) and 4 touchdowns (fasten for essentially the most) this season. He’s dealing with the Jets who’ve allowed the second-most dashing yards to opposing QBs this season (163).
Matchup X issue: The Jets’ offensive order. Simply because it was once launch to determine issues out, the order misplaced its splendid participant in Alijah Vera-Tucker for the season. The gang has its paintings scale down out for it towards the Eagles. It’s a fat ask to offer protection to Zach Wilson this hour. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Jets are the one crew within the league that averages extra yards consistent with dashing play games (5.4) than passing play games (5.0). The Jets’ offensive order ranks thirteenth in run prevent win price, which bodes neatly for Corridor. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Eagles are 12-0 outright and 11-1 ATS all-time towards the Jets, with six instantly covers. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Eagles 31, Jets 17
Walder’s pick out: Eagles 28, Jets 16
FPI prediction: PHI, 65.3% (through a mean of five.4 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Rookie Carter already producing at historic pace … Jets vow to be ready for Eagles’ unique tush push formation … Hall comes full circle in showing NFL world he’s back
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: DET -3 (43.5)
Storyline to observe: The chief of the NFC North faces the chief of the NFC South. The Lions’ offense is on hearth, averaging 29.6 issues consistent with competition — fourth splendid within the league — date the Bucs boast one of the most league’s stingiest purple zone defenses. The Bucs are protecting combatants to a 27.3% potency ranking within the purple zone (moment splendid), and opposing quarterbacks are finishing simply 33.3% in their passes within the purple zone, the most productive mark within the NFL. — Jenna Laine
Daring prediction: Lions working again David Montgomery will scurry for 100-plus yards for a 3rd instantly competition. Tampa Bay’s scurry protection isn’t any slouch, permitting simply 379 general dashing yards at the season, however Sir Bernard Law is in a groove, and the Lions proceed to feed him. Refuse Lions participant has i’m in a hurry for 100 or extra yards in 3 consecutive video games since Corridor of Famer Barry Sanders (1998). — Eric Woodyard
Stat to grasp: The Buccaneers have allowed 4 sacks this season, which is the fewest allowed through the crew thru 4 video games since 2008 (additionally 4). The Lions have registered 14 sacks to this point this season, fasten for 14th-most within the NFL.
Matchup X issue: Lions vast receiver Jameson Williams. He had two receptions for two yards endmost hour, however he performed 47% of the snaps. I may see him creating a fat affect quickly. — Walder
Accidents: Lions | Buccaneers
What to grasp for myth: The one groups with extra dashing makes an attempt than the Lions (165) are the Eagles (179) and 49ers (173). However the Buccaneers’ protection has held its combatants to fewer than 80 dashing yards in 3 of 4 video games this season. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Lions are 27-12 ATS below lecturer Dan Campbell, the most productive checklist within the NFL in that span. They’re 4-1 ATS this season with 3 instantly covers. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Lions 31, Buccaneers 27
Walder’s pick out: Lions 35, Buccaneers 13
FPI prediction: DET, 55% (through a mean of one.8 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Mosely tears ACL for second year in a row … Mayfield’s Bucs renaissance, and what’s next … Goff: Lions becoming ‘more mature team’ … Confident Bucs embracing Bowles era on both sides of ball
0:46
The important thing to Baker Mayfield’s turnaround with the Bucs
Marcus Spears says Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield is extra comfy and is taking part in distant with fewer expectancies this season.
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Spread: BUF -14 (45)
Storyline to observe: This competition represents a fat bounce-back alternative for the Expenses’ offense next a subpar efficiency towards the Jaguars — particularly for the grassland competition. The Giants have giving up 5.3 yards consistent with scurry (twenty ninth) and six.3 yards consistent with play games (31) this season. A Expenses offense that scored 37-plus issues in a three-game stretch earlier than Year 5 will probably be a problem for this Giants protection. — Alaina Getzenberg
Daring prediction: Giants RB Saquon Barkley will scurry for 100-plus yards in his go back from an ankle injury regardless of optic fewer than 15 carries. This may appear fantastic given the surrounding of the Giants’ offensive order and Barkley’s observe checklist next getting back from ankle accidents. However the Giants’ order is healthier at run blocking off than move blocking off (positive, it’s a low bar at this level), and Buffalo is beat up defensively. The Expenses are permitting 134.0 dashing yards consistent with competition, twenty fifth within the NFL. Welcome again, Saquon! — Jordan Raanan
Stat to grasp: The Expenses have old nickel protection on 95.8% in their performs this season, the perfect price within the NFL. They have got ruled combatants the use of five-plus defensive backs, score first in each touchdown-to-interception ratio and sack price. The Giants, who try towards defenses with five-plus defensive backs, rank endmost in the ones metrics.
Matchup X issue: Expenses edge rusher Von Miller. He performed simply 23% of the snaps endmost hour, however that probably will probably be expanding towards the Giants. And the Expenses want the support, too, with DaQuan Jones now injured. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: Unutilized York’s protection has giving up the fifth-most myth issues to working backs to this point this season. Don’t be afraid to start out James Cook dinner. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Giants are 0-5 ATS this season, the worst within the NFL. Endmost season, the Giants had been 13-4 ATS, the most productive mark within the NFL. Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Expenses 38, Giants 17
Walder’s pick out: Expenses 30, Giants 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 89.3% (through a mean of 17 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Jones not worried neck injury is long-term issue … Bills have tough road ahead with defensive injuries piling up
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Spread: DAL -2.5 (51)
Storyline to observe: The Cowboys fired offensive coordinator Kellen Moore next endmost season’s divisional-round playoff loss, with lecturer Mike McCarthy taking on because the crew’s offensive playcaller. The Chargers temporarily scooped up Moore next firing their coordinator, Joe Lombardi, and Moore has the Chargers some of the league’s splendid passing offenses. Now he’ll face his former crew unused off the Cowboys’ 32-point loss to the 49ers, through which the Cowboys scored simply 10 issues. — Kris Rhim
Daring prediction: Cowboys QB Dak Prescott will throw for 300 yards. That could be common for lots of quarterbacks, but it surely hasn’t been familiar for Prescott. In his year 17 begins, he has one 300-yard competition. The Chargers’ move protection has had an every-other-game really feel to this point, permitting 466 and 367 yards within the first and 0.33 video games. Perhaps the bye will support Los Angeles, however Prescott can have a fat night time. — Todd Archer
Stat to grasp: Over the year 3 seasons, Herbert has been one of the most league’s splendid QBs below drive, score 0.33 in QBR (66.1), 6th in of completion proportion (67.5%), moment in passing yards (10,859), 5th in passing touchdowns (70) and 0.33 in sack price when below drive (15.5%). The Cowboys supremacy the NFL in drive proportion over that very same span.
Matchup X issue: McCarthy. He sought after offensive playcalling tasks again, however to this point the effects haven’t been there. Dallas ranks simply fifteenth in EPA consistent with play games on that aspect of the ball, with neither the passing competition nor dashing competition cracking the manage 10. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Cowboys’ protection ranks twenty fifth in run ban win price (29.1%), date the Chargers’ offensive order ranks 6th in run prevent win price (72.4%). For myth managers, L.A. working again Austin Ekeler‘s expected return comes at a splendid era. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS next a loss within the year two seasons and 9-1 ATS within the year 3 seasons (seven instantly covers). Read more.
Moody’s pick out: Chargers 27, Cowboys 17
Walder’s pick out: Chargers 30, Cowboys 23
FPI prediction: LAC, 55.4% (through a mean of one.9 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Cowboys’ D aims to rebound vs. Chargers … Ekeler: ‘99% chance’ of return vs. Cowboys … Jones still believes in Cowboys, Prescott after rout
