The Week 7 NFL schedule for the 2023 season is stacked with superb matchups, and we have now you lined with what you wish to have to grasp heading into the weekend. Our NFL Population journalists carry us the most important keys to each duel and a daring prediction for every matchup.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Knowledge supplies a heavy stat to grasp and a betting nugget for every duel, and our Football Power Index (FPI) is going throughout the numbers with a duel projection. Analytics essayist Seth Walder alternatives out every matchup’s largest X issue, and untruth analyst Eric Moody arms out useful fantasy football intel. In spite of everything, Walder and Moody give us ultimate ranking picks for each duel. The entirety you wish to have to grasp is right here in a single spot to assistance you get able for a loaded weekend of NFL football.
Let’s get into the entire Month 7 slate, together with the surging Lions enjoying in Baltimore and a Dolphins-Eagles showdown on Sunday night time. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night Football” matchup between the 49ers and the Vikings on ESPN. (Sport occasions are Sunday except differently famous.)
Soar to a matchup:
DET-BAL | CLE-IND | BUF-NE
WSH-NYG | ATL-TB | LV-CHI
PIT-LAR | ARI-SEA | GB-DEN
LAC-KC | MIA-PHI | SF-MIN
Thursday: JAX 31, NO 24
Bye: CIN, DAL, TEN, NYJ, CAR, HOU
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: BAL -3 (43)
Storyline to look at: In one of the crucial marquee matchups of the pace, Lions QB Jared Goff has the NFL’s third-best QBR (81.5) when no longer stressed, throwing 9 landing passes and two interceptions. The Ravens are join for the league top with 24 sacks, getting a sack from an NFL-high 11 avid gamers. — Jamison Hensley
Daring prediction: Lions WR Jameson Williams will ranking his moment 35-plus-yard landing reception, and the Lions will get started 6-1 for the primary moment since 1956. Williams brings a distinct territory to the already high-powered Detroit offense and scored a 45-yard TD at Tampa Bay closing pace in his moment duel again later serving a four-game suspension for violating the NFL’s playing coverage. “I would say my confidence was already out the roof because that’s how I think about myself. I think I’m the best,” Williams mentioned of his TD catch. “So as a boost, it maybe sent me from 100 to 150.” — Eric Woodyard
Stat to grasp: Lamar Jackson is 15-1 in his occupation towards NFC warring parties (7-0 at house), with the one loss coming closing season on the Giants. His .938 win proportion vs. the NFC is the most productive by way of any QB towards the opposing convention because the 1970 merger (min. 5 begins).
0:39
Is Mark Andrews in layout for a excellent untruth duel vs. Lions?
Eric Karabell offer some numbers on Mark Andrews’ great untruth season forward of a matchup vs. the Lions.
Matchup X issue: Ravens proper take on Morgan Moses. He’ll be charged with preventing Lions defensive finish Aidan Hutchinson on Sunday. If he can do this, the duty for Jackson and Baltimore’s offense will get a heck of a accumulation more straightforward. Even with Hutchinson, the Lions rank thirty first in go sprint win charge, partly as a result of Hutchinson has a tendency to win then within the sprint. — Walder
What to grasp for untruth: The Ravens’ protection has giving up the seventh-fewest untruth issues in step with duel to vast receivers. As well as, Baltimore’s protection has allowed most effective 5.8 yards in step with reception, a league low, which might place Lions tight finish Sam LaPorta and operating again Jahmyr Gibbs for a ton of catches. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Lions are 7-1 towards the unfold (ATS) of their life 8 street video games. Read more.
Moody’s select: Ravens 24, Lions 23
Walder’s select: Ravens 27, Lions 24
FPI prediction: BAL, 53.9% (by way of a mean of one.4 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Lions have bigger goals after 5-1 start … Jackson, Ravens need to fix red zone problems … RB Montgomery likely out ‘for a little bit’
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: CLE -3 (41)
Storyline to look at: Either one of Cleveland’s conceivable initiation QBs are very common to the Colts. Deshaun Watson (whose situation is questionable because of a shoulder injury) performed six video games towards Indy occasion with AFC South rival Houston, throwing 8 landing passes and dashing for 2 extra ratings occasion finishing 70% of his makes an attempt. His alternative, PJ Walker, entered the league with Indianapolis in 2017 and spent portions of 3 seasons bouncing between the Colts’ apply squad and lively roster earlier than shifting on in 2019. — Stephen Holder
Daring prediction: The Browns’ protection will outscore the Colts’ offense in some other dominant efficiency. Cleveland is supremacy 5 defensively in virtually each division however submits. That adjustments in Indy, because the Browns will pressure the Colts into more than one miscues. — Jake Trotter
Stat to grasp: The Browns have allowed 1,002 yards this season, the 0.33 fewest via a staff’s first 5 video games because the 1970 AFL-NFL merger.
Matchup X issue: Colts operating backs Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss. Quarterback Gardner Minshew isn’t going with the intention to go the ball at the Browns, ordinary and easy. This duel will come right down to the Colts’ protection and if the Indianapolis operating duel can generate plethora issues at the grassland. — Walder
What to grasp for untruth: There are 11 groups this season that experience allowed greater than 1,000 yards to receivers. The Colts are one in all them. Browns receiver Amari Cooper has had 8 or extra objectives and scored 15 or extra untruth issues in 3 of his life 4 video games, and will have to proceed to be fruitful whether or not Watson or Walker is underneath heart. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Browns are liked in a street duel for the second one moment this season, similar their general from every of the life two seasons. Read more.
Moody’s select: Browns 28, Colts 14
Walder’s select: Browns 23, Colts 10
FPI prediction: CLE, 60% (by way of a mean of three.5 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Watson (shoulder injury) returns to practice, throws … How Luck’s injury influenced Richardson‘s treatment … Oral history of how the Browns shocked the 5-0 49ers
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: BUF -8.5 (40)
Storyline to look at: The Expenses’ 13 takeaways are join for the second one maximum within the NFL, occasion the Patriots’ 11 giveaways are join for the 0.33 maximum. “Ball security is a top priority for us this week,” Unutilized England tutor Invoice Belichick mentioned. The Patriots have simply 3 takeaways at the season, as their minus-8 yielding differential is join for closing within the NFL. The Expenses are join for tenth with a plus-4 yielding differential. — Mike Reiss
Daring prediction: The Expenses’ protection will reserve the Patriots to seven issues or fewer and grasp a 5th immediately win over the Patriots. Unutilized England is averaging 12 issues scored in step with duel (moment fewest) and ranks closing in issues in step with power (1.0), occasion the Expenses have held warring parties to fourteen.8 issues in step with duel (0.33 fewest). Additionally, the Expenses’ earlier 4 wins over Unutilized England have every been by way of double digits. — Alaina Getzenberg
Stat to grasp: Expenses quarterback Josh Allen has made a addiction of tearing up the Patriots at Gillette Stadium. In 5 occupation street begins at Unutilized England, Allen has thrown 12 landing passes and two interceptions, and posted an 83 General QBR. That’s the third-highest street QBR by way of any QB towards a unmarried opponent since 2006 (when the metric started).
Matchup X issue: Patriots cornerbacks Jonathan Jones and J.C. Jackson. Unutilized England’s most effective worship is to decelerate the Buffalo passing assault and hold this a low-scoring duel. The Giants confirmed closing pace it may be finished, but it surely’s getting to tug a robust efficiency from the Patriots’ secondary. — Walder
What to grasp for untruth: The one staff that permits a better dashing yards in step with raise than the Expenses (5.4) is the Broncos (5.6). With the Patriots’ offensive layout ranked 8th in run oppose win charge and getting more healthy, Unutilized England’s operating duel may have good fortune towards Buffalo. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: Unutilized England has didn’t safe in 9 immediately video games as an underdog, join for the second-longest ATS dropping streak as an underdog within the Tremendous Bowl moment. The Rams went 11 consecutive video games as an underdog with out protecting spanning the 1995-96 seasons. Read more.
Moody’s select: Expenses 31, Patriots 17
Walder’s select: Expenses 27, Patriots 13
FPI prediction: BUF, 82.3% (by way of a mean of 12.6 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Allen has ‘no concern’ over shoulder injury … 1-5 Patriots’ morale being tested, but players are focused on improving … Could Bills spreading the ball more lead to a more consistent offense?
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: WSH -2.5 (37.5)
Storyline to look at: The Commanders are the only NFC East staff the Giants have treated lately. If truth be told, Unutilized York’s most effective category win (and secured) closing season got here towards Washington. Over the life five-plus seasons, the Giants are 9-22-1 towards the NFC East, together with the postseason. Six of the ones 9 wins have come towards Washington. — Jordan Raanan
Daring prediction: A Commanders receiver will surpass 100 yards for the primary moment this season. Terry McLaurin has crowned 100 yards thrice in seven occupation video games vs. Unutilized York, together with as soon as closing season. Jahan Dotson‘s lone 100-yard duel in his two-year occupation happened towards the Giants in Month 15 closing season. The Giants rank closing in yards later the catch won by way of opposing receivers and are twentieth in yards won in step with catch. — John Keim
Stat to grasp: The Giants have long gone 3 immediately video games with out an offensive landing, their longest streak since 1976 (4 immediately). Negative staff has long gone 4 immediately video games with out an offensive landing because the 2008 Browns.
0:40
Why the over is usually a shield wager for Commanders-Giants
Tyler Fulghum is anticipating the Commanders and Giants to position enough quantity of issues at the scoreboard of their NFC East showdown in Month 7.
Matchup X issue: Commanders edge rusher Montez Sweat. I used to be stunned to look Sweat has simply an 8% go sprint win charge at edge, which ranks fiftieth out of 55 qualifiers. He has a excellent matchup towards Giants take on Evan Neal and will have to have the ability to disrupt the passing duel. — Walder
Accidents: Commanders | Giants
What to grasp for untruth: The Giants’ protection lets in the sixth-most untruth issues in step with duel to operating backs, which bodes smartly for Brian Robinson Jr. on Sunday. In each duel this season during which he has had 12 or extra touches, Robinson has scored 13 or extra untruth issues. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: In every of the life six matchups between the Commanders and Giants in Unutilized York, the underneath has accident. Plus, the underneath has accident in 17 of the life 20 conferences between those two groups when the Giants have hosted. Read more.
Moody’s select: Commanders 24, Giants 20
Walder’s select: Giants 19, Commanders 16
FPI prediction: WSH, 61.4% (by way of a mean of four issues)
Matchup must-reads: Commanders look to build on big plays that ended losing streak … Pugh goes from ‘couch’ to Giants’ active roster in two weeks
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: TB -2.5 (37)
Storyline to look at: Each groups are coming off losses, with Falcons quarterback Desmond Ridder throwing 3 interceptions towards the Commanders closing pace and the Bucs failing to pressure a yielding on protection or ranking a landing on offense for the primary moment this season towards the Lions. However later the Saints’ loss Thursday, the winner of this NFC South matchup will finish Month 7 atop the category. — Jenna Laine
Daring prediction: Buccaneers receiver Mike Evans can have greater than 75 yards and a ranking. Evans has 10 touchdowns in 16 video games towards Atlanta in his occupation, and he’s going to upload some other to his general Sunday later scoring in just one duel (albeit two touchdowns) over the life six occasions he has performed towards the Falcons. — Michael Rothstein
Stat to grasp: The Buccaneers’ plus-6 yielding margin is join for 0.33 ideally suited within the NFL this season, occasion the Falcons’ minus-6 yielding margin is join for 5th worst (minus-8 over the life 3 video games).
Matchup X issue: Falcons protection Jessie Bates III. With 3 interceptions and two pressured fumbles, Bates has been an have an effect on addition for Atlanta’s protection. The Bucs’ passing duel is far better than their grassland duel, so preventing Tampa Bay’s aerial assault must be the Falcons’ defensive focal point. — Walder
Accidents: Falcons | Buccaneers
What to grasp for untruth: The Buccaneers rank moment within the league with a 41.0% blitz charge. Ridder struggles underneath force, and the Falcons’ offensive layout ranks twenty fourth in go oppose win charge. This season, Ridder’s crowning glory proportion is most effective 52%, and his passer score drops to 67.3 when underneath force. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Falcons have didn’t safe in 5 immediately video games, their longest streak since 2019. The closing moment they didn’t safe in six consecutive video games was once 2015 (9 immediately). It is usually the longest lively streak with out protecting amongst all groups. Read more.
Moody’s select: Buccaneers 24, Falcons 17
Walder’s select: Falcons 23, Buccaneers 19
FPI prediction: TB, 52.6% (by way of a mean of one issues)
Matchup must-reads: What’s wrong with the Falcons’ run game? … Mayfield critical of Buccaneers’ offense, takes blame
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: LV -2.5 (37.5)
Storyline to look at: Each groups’ initiation quarterbacks are coping with accidents. Bears quarterback Justin Fields (thumb) was once classified as doubtful towards the Raiders on Monday and has no longer practiced this pace. Neither has the Raiders’ Jimmy Garoppolo, who has a again shock that has saved him off form and will keep him sidelined in Week 7. Undrafted rookie Tyson Bagent may get the beginning for the Bears. For Vegas, it’s both rookie Aidan O’Connell or veteran Brian Hoyer. — Courtney Cronin
Daring prediction: Rookie edge rusher Tyree Wilson will select up his first occupation sack. True, Wilson has but to file a QB accident and has most effective six pressures to proceed with a go sprint win charge of five.6%, however the Bears have already giving up 25 sacks, 0.33 maximum within the NFL. And Chicago can be initiation an undrafted rookie QB who may reserve the ball a little longer than he will have to. — Paul Gutierrez
Stat to grasp: Bagent would be the first quarterback from a Section II college to start out an NFL duel since Jon Kitna and Todd Bouman each did so in 2010.
1:49
Will have to Davante Adams get the ball extra?
Damien Woody and Dan Orlovsky speak about whether or not Davante Adams will have to be extra of a point of interest within the Raiders’ offense.
Matchup X issue: Raiders operating again Josh Jacobs and the Las Vegas operating duel. This unit ranks closing in anticipated issues added in step with designed raise, and Jacobs has recorded minus-52 sprint yards over expectation, in step with NFL Then Gen Stats. Simply a mean dashing duel will have to assistance beat the Bears. — Walder
What to grasp for untruth: The Bears have allowed 7.4 yards in step with passing play games. You’ll have Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers for your untruth lineup regardless who’s enjoying quarterback for the Raiders. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Bears are 5-1 with overs this season, the most productive of any staff. At the turn aspect, the Raiders are 5-1 with unders. Read more.
Moody’s select: Raiders 27, Bears 13
Walder’s select: Bears 20, Raiders 17
FPI prediction: CHI, 55.7% (by way of a mean of two issues)
Matchup must-reads: Adams: My purpose on Raiders is to influence game … Bears’ Bagent to complete journey from D-II QB to NFL starter
4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: LAR -3 (42.5)
Storyline to look at: The Steelers are averaging 15.8 issues in step with duel this season, which ranks thirtieth within the NFL and is their second-lowest mark via 5 video games underneath Mike Tomlin. Do they’ve a prospect to proper the send in Los Angeles? The younger Rams protection has proven guarantee, together with a second-half shutout towards the Cardinals closing pace, however ranks 18th within the NFL in DVOA. — Sarah Barshop
Daring prediction: Steelers protection Minkah Fitzpatrick gets his first interception of the season. I’m sick their supremacy two operating backs, the Rams will depend much more on their prolific passing offense, person who ranks 0.33 within the league with 1,677 passing yards and is much more explosive with the go back of receiver Cooper Kupp to enrich rookie breakout Puka Nacua. Fitzpatrick hasn’t been in place to form many performs at the ball this season, however Steelers defensive coordinator Teryl Austin credited the “law of averages” in explaining Fitzpatrick’s deficit of leak performs. — Brooke Pryor
Stat to grasp: The Steelers’ offensive issues proceed well past gaining yards, as Pittsburgh’s 29% crimson zone landing proportion this season is its worst via 5 video games since 2001 (20%).
Matchup X issue: Rams proper take on Rob Havenstein. The most productive gadgets on this duel are the Rams’ passing assault and the Steelers’ go protection. The fastest manner for Pittsburgh to win that combat is for Steelers edge rusher T.J. Watt to get to Rams QB Matthew Stafford, and Havenstein — who ranks most effective forty fourth out of 69 tackles in go oppose win charge (85%) — would be the one charged with preventing Watt. — Walder
What to grasp for untruth: The Rams rank fourth in yards in step with crowning glory (11.2) and moment in passing first downs in step with duel (13.7). Receivers Kupp and Nacua stay should begins. The Steelers’ protection offers up the fourth-most untruth issues in step with duel to vast receivers. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: Tomlin is 44-40 outright in his training occupation as an underdog. He’s the one head tutor within the Tremendous Bowl moment to have a profitable file as an underdog amongst coaches who’ve been an underdog in additional than 50 video games. Read more.
Moody’s select: Rams 28, Steelers 20
Walder’s select: Rams 30, Steelers 13
FPI prediction: LAR, 58.3% (by way of a mean of two.9 issues)
Matchup must-reads: What do we know about Pickett after 17 starts as a Steeler? … McVay says his future son ‘knows better’ than to be born on game day … RB Williams expected to miss multiple games
4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: SEA -7 (44.5)
Storyline to look at: The Cardinals on Wednesday designated quarterback Kyler Murray to return from the physically unable to perform list, permitting the quarterback to apply for the primary moment since he tore an ACL in December. Murray gained’t be able to play games Sunday, so Joshua Dobbs will stay Arizona’s starter. He’ll face a resurgent Seattle protection that held Joe Burrow and the Bengals to simply 185 passing yards in Month 6 and is permitting a league-best 3.2 yards in step with raise. — Brady Henderson
Daring prediction: Dobbs will throw for 300 yards and top the Cardinals with 100 dashing yards. With Dobbs’ days as a starter winding ailing, he’ll display he’s in a position to being a starter for some other staff. Seattle has giving up a mean of 257.6 passing yards in step with duel this season. Regardless that the Seahawks have stepped forward just lately on protection, they did surrender greater than 300 yards passing to their first 3 warring parties. Arizona would be the fourth to proceed 300-plus on Seattle. — Josh Weinfuss
Stat to grasp: Geno Smith‘s 75% pageant proportion on play-action because the get started of 2022 is moment ideally suited within the NFL, and his 11 passing touchdowns off play-action rank 7th within the NFL over that span. The Cardinals’ protection has allowed a 72% pageant proportion off play-action since 2022 (moment worst within the NFL).
Matchup X issue: Cardinals cornerback Marco Wilson. He has allowed 2.3 yards in step with protection snap this season, 5th maximum amongst cornerbacks with a minimum of 100 protection snaps, in step with NFL Then Gen Stats. Arizona wishes extra from him if it’s going to hold with Seattle. — Walder
Accidents: Cardinals | Seahawks
What to grasp for untruth: This can be a secured between the Seahawks’ and Chargers’ defenses for essentially the most untruth issues allowed to vast receivers this yr, which bodes smartly for Arizona receiver Marquise Brown. Brown stuck most effective 4 of eleven objectives in Month 6 towards the Rams and completed with 7.4 untruth issues, however he averaged greater than 16 issues in his earlier 4 video games. Brown and fellow receiver Michael Wilson will have to have good fortune Sunday. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Cardinals are an underdog for the fifteenth immediately duel, the longest lively streak within the NFL. It is usually the longest streak for the Cardinals since they had been an underdog in 31 consecutive video games spanning 2002-04. Read more.
Moody’s select: Seahawks 24, Cardinals 21
Walder’s select: Seahawks 34, Cardinals 20
FPI prediction: SEA, 79.6% (by way of a mean of eleven.3 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Cardinals’ Murray, Baker back at practice … Seahawks’ Metcalf on penalties: ‘Not going to change who I am’ … ‘It’s very frustrating’: Red zone woes holding Cardinals back
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: GB -1 (45)
Storyline to look at: Broncos tutor Sean Payton has mentioned a property run duel is within the staff’s “DNA,” but he has also said he needs to be more patient and actually call games that way. And that’s something to keep an eye on, given the occasional leakiness of the Packers’ run defense. The Broncos’ running backs had just 19 and 15 carries in losses to the Chiefs and Jets, respectively, over the past two games, despite having the No. 3 run block win rate in the NFL (74.2%). The Packers are 28th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game and have allowed more than 200 yards on the ground twice already this season. — Jeff Legwold
Bold prediction: The Packers will find the end zone on their first possession of the game, ending a three-game streak of being held to three points or fewer in the first half. No Packers team has been held to three or fewer first-half points in four straight games since December 1990, and no NFL team has done that since 2021. Coach Matt LaFleur had a bye week to come up with something different for his opening script, and remember, this is a Denver team that has allowed 30 or more points in three games this season. — Rob Demovsky
Stat to know: Jordan Love has thrown one touchdown pass and five interceptions in his past two games (both Green Bay losses). He is the first Packers QB to throw multiple interceptions in back-to-back games since Brett Hundley in December 2017. The last to throw multiple interceptions in three straight games was Brett Favre in 2005.
Matchup X issue: Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson. Wilson in reality began cast this season, however his QBR has long gone ailing every pace — finishing with only a 9.8 in closing pace’s loss to the Chiefs. He has to get again to early-season mode if Denver goes to have a prospect. — Walder
What to grasp for untruth: Huge receivers have scored the ninth-fewest untruth issues in step with duel towards the Packers’ protection. Managers intending to start Wilson at QB and Jerry Jeudy or Courtland Sutton at WR this pace will have to mood their expectancies. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: In accordance with the stream unfold, the Packers are liked for the primary moment this season. They had been one in all 5 groups that weren’t liked within the first six weeks, together with the Colts, Cardinals, Jets and Panthers. Read more.
Moody’s select: Packers 31, Broncos 17
Walder’s select: Packers 26, Broncos 24
FPI prediction: GB, 56.8% (by way of a mean of two.4 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Jones hopes to spark Packers’ struggling offense … Can Wilson turn his season around?
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: KC -5.5 (48)
Storyline to look at: Be expecting a akin duel made up our minds by way of lower than a landing as a result of that’s what this contention has transform. 5 of the life six video games between the Chiefs and Chargers were made up our minds by way of six issues or fewer, with two finishing in extra time. The outlier was once a 38-21 blowout win for the Chargers within the ultimate duel of the 2020 season when the Chiefs rested their key avid gamers later securing the supremacy playoff seed. All 5 of L.A.’s video games this season were made up our minds by way of seven issues or fewer, and it might be an disenchanted if this duel deviated from the hot Chiefs-Chargers trend. — Adam Teicher
Daring prediction: Kansas Town will sack quarterback Justin Herbert a minimum of thrice. Herbert and the Chargers’ offense haven’t appeared like themselves their life two video games, initiation with a Month 4 matchup towards the Raiders that integrated occupation lows in completions and passing yards for Herbert together with a fractured left finger. In line with NFL Then Gen Stats, the Cowboys stressed Herbert on 47.6% of his dropbacks in Month 6, the absolute best charge of force he has confronted this season. Kansas Town’s protection is twelfth within the league with 17 sacks and may benefit from a suffering offensive layout and an injured quarterback. — Kris Rhim
Stat to grasp: Arguably disagree two QBs were higher at the go or when stressed because the get started of the 2020 season than Patrick Mahomes and Herbert. They each rank supremacy 5 in QBR underneath force, out of doors the region and when blitzed over that span.
Matchup X issue: Chiefs vast receivers Skyy Moore, Kadarius Toney, Rashee Rice, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Mecole Hardman or Justyn Ross. Mahomes simply wishes any such guys to step up as a moment receiving choice at the back of tight finish Travis Kelce to kick the Kansas Town offense into equipment. — Walder
What to grasp for untruth: The Chargers’ secondary has problems, permitting essentially the most passing yards in step with duel within the NFL. The Chargers’ protection additionally leads the league in third-down consequences, which is excellent news for untruth managers who’ve Chiefs of their untruth lineups. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: That is Mahomes’ 53rd house get started, together with playoffs, and the 52nd during which the Chiefs had been liked. The lone exception got here closing season in a loss to the Expenses. Read more.
Moody’s select: Chiefs 31, Chargers 27
Walder’s select: Chiefs 28, Chargers 21
FPI prediction: KC, 68.5% (by way of a mean of 6.6 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Herbert again struggles in loss to Cowboys … Hardman heads back to Chiefs in trade with Jets
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Spread: PHI -1.5 (51.5)
Storyline to look at: Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts, former teammates and competition within the Alabama quarterback room, sq. off for the primary moment on the skilled stage. They steward the supremacy two offenses within the NFL in yards in step with duel (Miami at 498.7 yards in step with duel, Philadelphia at 395.0). This matchup may also constituent the NFL’s supremacy two dashing groups (Miami at 181.8 yards in step with duel, Philadelphia at 150). — Tim McManus
Daring prediction: Miami’s protection will ranking a landing. The Dolphins’ three-game drought with out forcing a yielding will finish Sunday night time. Hurts has already surpassed his interception general from closing season (seven), and he and the Eagles are coming off a four-turnover duel closing pace. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Stat to grasp: A heavy consider Miami’s good fortune is its quantity and effectiveness with movement on the snap. The Dolphins have a participant in movement on the snap on 60% in their performs, the absolute best charge by way of any staff since ESPN started monitoring movement in 2017. Miami has excelled on those performs as smartly, chief the NFL in yards in step with play games and yards in step with sprint, however the Eagles’ protection has defended movement on the snap smartly, rating moment in yards in step with play games when movement is concerned.
Matchup X issue: Dolphins defensive take on Christian Wilkins. I’m nonetheless looking ahead to the skill of the Miami protection to handover effects, however Wilkins is making an have an effect on dashing the passer. Along with his 3.5 sacks, Wilkins ranks fourth in go sprint win charge at defensive take on. — Walder
What to grasp for untruth: Huge receivers have scored the sixth-most untruth issues in step with duel towards the Eagles’ secondary. The Dolphins’ offense has been epic throughout the first six weeks of the season. Get started all Miami avid gamers, together with Tagovailoa, who leads the league in passing yards and touchdowns. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Eagles are 12-1 in video games performed in September and October the life two seasons, the most productive file within the NFL over that span. The one loss was once closing pace towards the Jets. Read more.
Moody’s select: Dolphins 35, Eagles 30
Walder’s select: Dolphins 30, Eagles 27
FPI prediction: MIA, 58.5% (by way of a mean of three issues)
Matchup must-reads: Ramsey practices after meniscus surgery … Eagles about to enter toughest part of their schedule
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Spread: SF -7 (44)
Storyline to look at: There will probably be enough quantity of focal point on 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy, who leads the NFL in QBR. However the matchup that can dictate whether or not this duel is akin will contain the 49ers’ protection, which is permitting an NFL-low 14.5 issues in step with duel. Of their first duel with out injured receiver Justin Jefferson, the Vikings scored 12 offensive issues and controlled 4.0 yards in step with play games closing pace towards the Bears’ porous protection, each season lows. — Kevin Seifert
Daring prediction: Purdy will apply his worst skilled duel by way of throwing for 3 landing passes and greater than 275 yards. The Vikings blitz at, by way of a ways, the absolute best charge within the league (57% of leave backs), however Purdy has many times proved in a position to making warring parties pay for that competitive method. Because the get started of closing season, Purdy has a QBR of 81 towards the blitz, which ranks fourth within the NFL. Mixed along with his 8-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio in top moment, the recipe for a heavy soar again is there for Purdy. — Nick Wagoner
Stat to grasp: The 49ers have no longer misplaced the yielding combat in 16 immediately video games, the longest streak because the Patriots did so in 21 immediately around the 2011-12 seasons.
0:38
Why Tyler Fulghum expects issues from the Niners
Tyler Fulghum explains why his favourite wager is the over staff general for the 49ers on “Monday Night Football.”
Matchup X issue: Vikings proper take on Brian O’Neill. He’ll be charged with preventing 49ers defensive finish Nick Bosa, however O’Neill may well be as much as the problem. He’s enjoying superb in go coverage, rating moment in go oppose win charge (95%) amongst tackles. The Vikings want a accumulation to proceed proper to overcome the 49ers, and retaining off Bosa is a heavy one. — Walder
What to grasp for untruth: Towards the Browns closing pace, 49ers receivers had been confronted with guy protection on round 70% of snaps. That, plus dropping operating again Christian McCaffrey and receiver Deebo Samuel to midgame accidents, led to Purdy to attain a season-low 7.7 untruth issues. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody
Making a bet nugget: The Vikings haven’t been a house underdog of seven or extra issues since 2014. They and the Chiefs are the one groups to to not be such an underdog within the life 9 seasons. Read more.
Moody’s select: 49ers 29, Vikings 20
Walder’s select: 49ers 26, Vikings 20
FPI prediction: SF, 69.8% (by way of a mean of seven.1 issues)
Matchup must-reads: 49ers hope Gregory can help boost pass rush … Vikings pass-rusher Davenport on IR with ankle sprain … Sources: McCaffrey avoids serious injury, could play on MNF … Vikings’ offense sluggish without Jefferson
